Youth, Place, and Shootings: Environmental and Institutional Correlates of Juvenile Shooting Victimization in Philadelphia

= 2,775 incidents). Using tract-level data on socioeconomic conditions, racial composition, environmental stressors, and public facilities, the analysis examines associations between these factors and the frequency of youth shootings. Global Poisson regression results indicated that higher tract-level measures of concentrated disadvantage, heat vulnerability, and the number of schools were associated with significantly more youth shooting victims, while a higher percentage of park land was associated with fewer incidents. Geographically Weighted Poisson Regression (GWPR) revealed substantial spatial heterogeneity in these relationships. For example, the effect of disadvantage varied from non-significant to strongly positive across neighborhoods, and the impact of schools and parks differed by location. These findings suggest that community characteristics influencing youth firearm victimization do not operate uniformly across urban space. Efforts to reduce juvenile victimization may benefit from geographically targeted strategies that account for localized variation in structural and environmental risk factors.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Interpersonal Violence
Published
2026-11-11
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1177/08862605261473540
Primary Topic
Gun Ownership and Violence Research
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Youth, Place, and Shootings: Environmental and Institutional Correlates of Juvenile Shooting Victimization in Philadelphia

Katie K. Lockwood, Brian R. Wyant, George Brian Lockwood
Journal of Interpersonal Violence
Gun Ownership and Violence Research
article

Youth, Place, and Shootings: Environmental and Institutional Correlates of Juvenile Shooting Victimization in Philadelphia

Katie K. Lockwood, Brian R. Wyant, George Brian Lockwood
article en

Abstract

= 2,775 incidents). Using tract-level data on socioeconomic conditions, racial composition, environmental stressors, and public facilities, the analysis examines associations between these factors and the frequency of youth shootings. Global Poisson regression results indicated that higher tract-level measures of concentrated disadvantage, heat vulnerability, and the number of schools were associated with significantly more youth shooting victims, while a higher percentage of park land was associated with fewer incidents. Geographically Weighted Poisson Regression (GWPR) revealed substantial spatial heterogeneity in these relationships. For example, the effect of disadvantage varied from non-significant to strongly positive across neighborhoods, and the impact of schools and parks differed by location. These findings suggest that community characteristics influencing youth firearm victimization do not operate uniformly across urban space. Efforts to reduce juvenile victimization may benefit from geographically targeted strategies that account for localized variation in structural and environmental risk factors.

Journal of Interpersonal Violence
Monmouth University (US), La Salle University (US), University of Pennsylvania (US)
Gun Ownership and Violence Research
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