Economic Coordination, Political Regime and Sustainability Outcomes: Cross-National Evidence on Corruption, Inflation and Growth

Debates on market-led versus state-led economies often treat them as discrete types. We measure state coordination on a continuous 1–10 scale built from six components (ownership, administrative allocation, trade and capital controls, regulation and property rights, size of government, and political centralization) and relate it to Transparency International’s Corruption Perceptions Index (CPI), inflation, and real GDP per capita growth for 160 countries over 2016–2025. The central finding is the overlap between coordination and the political regime. One index point is associated with a CPI score lower by 6.6 points (Holm-adjusted p < 0.001), but the index correlates with liberal democracy at ρ = −0.90, and neither this association nor that of an economic coordination index without political components remains significant once democracy is controlled. The convex inflation hypothesis received nominal support before, but not after, multiplicity adjustment. In post hoc secondary tests, the economic coordination index has a positive linear association with inflation that persists when democracy is controlled and survives correction within this extended family. Associations with growth, differences within the European Union, and a tenure–inflation link are not robust. All results are associations, not causal effects, relevant to Sustainable Development Goal targets 16.5, 16.6, and 8.1.

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Journal
Sustainability
Published
2026-11-11
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/su182211488
Primary Topic
Corruption and Economic Development
Type
article
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article

Economic Coordination, Political Regime and Sustainability Outcomes: Cross-National Evidence on Corruption, Inflation and Growth

Nikolay Sterev, Fahri Idriz
Sustainability
Corruption and Economic Development
article

Economic Coordination, Political Regime and Sustainability Outcomes: Cross-National Evidence on Corruption, Inflation and Growth

Nikolay Sterev, Fahri Idriz
article en

Abstract

Debates on market-led versus state-led economies often treat them as discrete types. We measure state coordination on a continuous 1–10 scale built from six components (ownership, administrative allocation, trade and capital controls, regulation and property rights, size of government, and political centralization) and relate it to Transparency International’s Corruption Perceptions Index (CPI), inflation, and real GDP per capita growth for 160 countries over 2016–2025. The central finding is the overlap between coordination and the political regime. One index point is associated with a CPI score lower by 6.6 points (Holm-adjusted p < 0.001), but the index correlates with liberal democracy at ρ = −0.90, and neither this association nor that of an economic coordination index without political components remains significant once democracy is controlled. The convex inflation hypothesis received nominal support before, but not after, multiplicity adjustment. In post hoc secondary tests, the economic coordination index has a positive linear association with inflation that persists when democracy is controlled and survives correction within this extended family. Associations with growth, differences within the European Union, and a tenure–inflation link are not robust. All results are associations, not causal effects, relevant to Sustainable Development Goal targets 16.5, 16.6, and 8.1.

SustainabilityVol. 18(22)
University of National and World Economy (BG), Technical University of Sofia (BG)
Corruption and Economic Development
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