The Impact of Public Expenditure and Money Supply on Economic Growth: The Case of Afghanistan (2007-2020)

The study seeks to identify the impact of money supply and public expenditure on the economic growth of Afghanistan from 2007-2020. The ordinary least square (OLS) method was used to estimate the coefficients of the dependent variables. An augmented Dicky-Fuller (ADF) unit root test was used to find out whether the data contained a unit root. Jarque-Bera, Multicollinearity, and Breusch-Pegan-Godfrey normality, MultiCollinearity and heteroscedasticity diagnostic tests were applied. The results imply that public expenditure both capital and consumption expenditure have a positive significant impact on the economic growth of Afghanistan whereas the association between money supply and economic growth is not significant. As a result, the government should practice significant fiscal policy to stimulate economic growth and use the money supply to fight inflationary situations.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Islamic Economics (JoIE)
Published
2026-11-11
DOI
https://doi.org/10.21154/joie.v6i2.15360
Primary Topic
Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth
Type
article
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article

The Impact of Public Expenditure and Money Supply on Economic Growth: The Case of Afghanistan (2007-2020)

Abdullah Ziarmal, Mohammad Yousaf Asak, Ezatullah Asim
Journal of Islamic Economics (JoIE)
Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth
article

The Impact of Public Expenditure and Money Supply on Economic Growth: The Case of Afghanistan (2007-2020)

Abdullah Ziarmal, Mohammad Yousaf Asak, Ezatullah Asim
article en

Abstract

The study seeks to identify the impact of money supply and public expenditure on the economic growth of Afghanistan from 2007-2020. The ordinary least square (OLS) method was used to estimate the coefficients of the dependent variables. An augmented Dicky-Fuller (ADF) unit root test was used to find out whether the data contained a unit root. Jarque-Bera, Multicollinearity, and Breusch-Pegan-Godfrey normality, MultiCollinearity and heteroscedasticity diagnostic tests were applied. The results imply that public expenditure both capital and consumption expenditure have a positive significant impact on the economic growth of Afghanistan whereas the association between money supply and economic growth is not significant. As a result, the government should practice significant fiscal policy to stimulate economic growth and use the money supply to fight inflationary situations.

Journal of Islamic Economics (JoIE)Vol. 6(2)
Kandahar University (AF)
Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth
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The Impact of Public Expenditure and Money Supply on Economic Growth: The Case of Afghanistan (2007-2020) — Abdullah Ziarmal, Mohammad Yousaf Asak, et al. · Journal of Islamic Economics (JoIE) (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS