Breaching of Valles Marineris led to ~34 m Martian sea level rise — E8 Intelligence Research

The northern plains of Mars, once occupied by the hypothesized Oceanus Borealis, preserve multiple shoreline levels that record changes in sea level and ocean configuration. Episodic, high-magnitude floods that debouched into the northern lowlands are a plausible mechanism for these fluctuations. Here, we quantify the hydrologic and geomorphic consequences of breaching of Valles Marineris (VM), which once contained extensive water bodies (approximately 2.369 × 1015 m3), using two-dimensional hydraulic modeling. Of this volume, simulations indicate that the catastrophic failure of the eastern VM boundary, associated with overtopping and downcutting, released ~1.245 × 1015 m3 of water, producing a global mean sea-level rise of ~34 m and a local transient rise of ~324 m at the outflow terminus. Geomorphic features along the outflow channels, such as streamlined islands and deltaic deposits, corroborate the modeled flood dynamics and confirm larg Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-11-11
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.24126959
Primary Topic
Planetary Science and Exploration
Type
preprint
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Breaching of Valles Marineris led to ~34 m Martian sea level rise — E8 Intelligence Research

Andrew Stewart Caldin
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Planetary Science and Exploration
preprint

Breaching of Valles Marineris led to ~34 m Martian sea level rise — E8 Intelligence Research

Andrew Stewart Caldin
preprint en

Abstract

The northern plains of Mars, once occupied by the hypothesized Oceanus Borealis, preserve multiple shoreline levels that record changes in sea level and ocean configuration. Episodic, high-magnitude floods that debouched into the northern lowlands are a plausible mechanism for these fluctuations. Here, we quantify the hydrologic and geomorphic consequences of breaching of Valles Marineris (VM), which once contained extensive water bodies (approximately 2.369 × 1015 m3), using two-dimensional hydraulic modeling. Of this volume, simulations indicate that the catastrophic failure of the eastern VM boundary, associated with overtopping and downcutting, released ~1.245 × 1015 m3 of water, producing a global mean sea-level rise of ~34 m and a local transient rise of ~324 m at the outflow terminus. Geomorphic features along the outflow channels, such as streamlined islands and deltaic deposits, corroborate the modeled flood dynamics and confirm larg Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Planetary Science and Exploration
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