A global analysis of the contribution of maternal mortality to lifetime uncertainty

Abstract Preventable maternal mortality remains a major cause of premature death, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa. Maternal mortality reduces women’s life expectancy, yet its contribution to variation in the age of death has not been quantified globally. Using Global Burden of Disease mortality estimates, we provide the first global estimates of its contribution to life expectancy and lifetime uncertainty. In most regions, maternal mortality makes a small contribution to both measures. Sub-Saharan Africa remains the exception. In the highest-burden countries, eliminating maternal mortality may substantially reduce lifetime uncertainty and increase life expectancy from age 10 onwards. Potential reductions in uncertainty exceed gains in life expectancy. Across the maternal mortality transition, the contribution of maternal mortality to both measures declines systematically. These findings reveal an overlooked dimension of inequity in maternal health outcomes: maternal mortality imposes a double burden on women’s survival by shortening lives and making the timing of death less predictable.

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Publication Details

Journal
Research Square
Published
2026-11-11
DOI
https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-11624380/v1
Primary Topic
Global Maternal and Child Health
Type
preprint
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preprint

A global analysis of the contribution of maternal mortality to lifetime uncertainty

Ursula Gazeley, José Manuel Aburto, Wen Su, Jesús Daniel Zazueta-Borboa
Research Square
Global Maternal and Child Health
preprint

A global analysis of the contribution of maternal mortality to lifetime uncertainty

Ursula Gazeley, José Manuel Aburto, Wen Su, Jesús Daniel Zazueta-Borboa
preprint en

Abstract

Abstract Preventable maternal mortality remains a major cause of premature death, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa. Maternal mortality reduces women’s life expectancy, yet its contribution to variation in the age of death has not been quantified globally. Using Global Burden of Disease mortality estimates, we provide the first global estimates of its contribution to life expectancy and lifetime uncertainty. In most regions, maternal mortality makes a small contribution to both measures. Sub-Saharan Africa remains the exception. In the highest-burden countries, eliminating maternal mortality may substantially reduce lifetime uncertainty and increase life expectancy from age 10 onwards. Potential reductions in uncertainty exceed gains in life expectancy. Across the maternal mortality transition, the contribution of maternal mortality to both measures declines systematically. These findings reveal an overlooked dimension of inequity in maternal health outcomes: maternal mortality imposes a double burden on women’s survival by shortening lives and making the timing of death less predictable.

Research Square
University of Oxford (GB), University College London (GB)
Global Maternal and Child Health
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