A Medication Adherence Witness: What an Opened Box Does and Does Not Prove

SIMULATED, NOT MEASURED. An inference budget for an adherence witness: posterior probabilities, false-reassurance and false-alarm rates for opening-based alert rules, value of compartment and scale upgrades, and record length needed for a trustworthy adherence estimate. The witness certifies openings, not ingestion.

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-11-10
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.24110134
Primary Topic
Medication Adherence and Compliance
Type
preprint
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preprint

A Medication Adherence Witness: What an Opened Box Does and Does Not Prove

William Alexander Aldred
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Medication Adherence and Compliance
preprint

A Medication Adherence Witness: What an Opened Box Does and Does Not Prove

William Alexander Aldred
preprint en

Abstract

SIMULATED, NOT MEASURED. An inference budget for an adherence witness: posterior probabilities, false-reassurance and false-alarm rates for opening-based alert rules, value of compartment and scale upgrades, and record length needed for a trustworthy adherence estimate. The witness certifies openings, not ingestion.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Medication Adherence and Compliance
DOIOpen Access PDFOpenAlex
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