A Lightning Witness for Schools and Clinics: A $91 Sferics and Electric-Field Warning Node, Its Computed Warning-Time Budget, and the Limits of the 30-30 Rule

Design and reproducible Monte Carlo computation of a $91 two-channel (VLF sferics plus electric-field plate) lightning warning node for schools and clinics. SIMULATED, NOT MEASURED: a single node gives a median 29.2 minutes warning before the first cloud-to-ground strike within 10 km, with zero or negative warning in 12.7% of dangerous storms; a three-node district arrangement ($318) cuts the zero-warning fraction to 5.2%. The all-clear problem and a priced comparison with the 30-30 rule are computed. Includes compute.py and results.json reproducing every number in the paper.

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Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-11-10
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.24108715
Primary Topic
Lightning and Electromagnetic Phenomena
Type
article
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article

A Lightning Witness for Schools and Clinics: A $91 Sferics and Electric-Field Warning Node, Its Computed Warning-Time Budget, and the Limits of the 30-30 Rule

William Alexander Aldred
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Lightning and Electromagnetic Phenomena
article

A Lightning Witness for Schools and Clinics: A $91 Sferics and Electric-Field Warning Node, Its Computed Warning-Time Budget, and the Limits of the 30-30 Rule

William Alexander Aldred
article en

Abstract

Design and reproducible Monte Carlo computation of a $91 two-channel (VLF sferics plus electric-field plate) lightning warning node for schools and clinics. SIMULATED, NOT MEASURED: a single node gives a median 29.2 minutes warning before the first cloud-to-ground strike within 10 km, with zero or negative warning in 12.7% of dangerous storms; a three-node district arrangement ($318) cuts the zero-warning fraction to 5.2%. The all-clear problem and a priced comparison with the 30-30 rule are computed. Includes compute.py and results.json reproducing every number in the paper.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Lightning and Electromagnetic Phenomena
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