The Global Earthquake Energy Census, Recounted Bin by Bin

Using the published long-term average annual earthquake counts per magnitude bin of the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) and the standard energy-magnitude relation log10 E(J) = 1.5 M + 4.8, the radiated seismic energy released worldwide is recounted bin by bin. The midpoint estimate of the global total is 5.92 x 10^17 J per year, corresponding to a mean power of 0.0188 TW. The single magnitude 8 and above bin, averaging one event per year, contributes 59.9% of the total, and events of magnitude 7 and above together contribute 88.4%. All events below magnitude 6 - more than 1.4 million events per year - contribute only 3.60%. A single magnitude 9.5 event radiates 1.12 x 10^19 J, about 19 times the entire average annual total. The annual seismic total is 0.040% of Earth's total surface heat flow (47 TW) and 0.094% of total human power use (approximately 20 TW). Because the budget is dominated by the rarest events, the 'average year' is a statistical construct that no typical year resembles.

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Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-11-10
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.24102145
Primary Topic
earthquake and tectonic studies
Type
article
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article

The Global Earthquake Energy Census, Recounted Bin by Bin

William Alexander Aldred
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
earthquake and tectonic studies
article

The Global Earthquake Energy Census, Recounted Bin by Bin

William Alexander Aldred
article en

Abstract

Using the published long-term average annual earthquake counts per magnitude bin of the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) and the standard energy-magnitude relation log10 E(J) = 1.5 M + 4.8, the radiated seismic energy released worldwide is recounted bin by bin. The midpoint estimate of the global total is 5.92 x 10^17 J per year, corresponding to a mean power of 0.0188 TW. The single magnitude 8 and above bin, averaging one event per year, contributes 59.9% of the total, and events of magnitude 7 and above together contribute 88.4%. All events below magnitude 6 - more than 1.4 million events per year - contribute only 3.60%. A single magnitude 9.5 event radiates 1.12 x 10^19 J, about 19 times the entire average annual total. The annual seismic total is 0.040% of Earth's total surface heat flow (47 TW) and 0.094% of total human power use (approximately 20 TW). Because the budget is dominated by the rarest events, the 'average year' is a statistical construct that no typical year resembles.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
earthquake and tectonic studies
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