The Recursive Pattern — Prospective Prediction Registry (Protocol)

Prospective prediction registry protocol for The Recursive Pattern (working paper v1, DOI 10.5281/zenodo.23246408). Predictions are logged before their outcomes, with HIT/MISS defined in advance and base rates stated before each window opens; the theory's test is whether timestamped predictions beat their own pre-registered base rates. Both kill criteria are operational: Kill 1 (definitional — hindsight-only recognition is story, not structure) and Kill 2 (statistical — hit rate not above base rate kills it, tie included). The §10 proposal layer was adopted November 9, 2026 (base-rate sources; minimum N = 20 scored entries before any claim; exact Poisson-binomial test as supporting evidence; VOID category; public-scale sub-tally; role-label anonymization; the October draft RP-001 left in October, never locked, never backdated). The registry opens empty: no predictions are registered in this record. This deposit is the timestamped protocol lock, not a results publication.

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-11-09
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.24083977
Primary Topic
Academic Publishing and Open Access
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
NOV
article

The Recursive Pattern — Prospective Prediction Registry (Protocol)

Abby Davis
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Academic Publishing and Open Access
article

The Recursive Pattern — Prospective Prediction Registry (Protocol)

Abby Davis
article en

Abstract

Prospective prediction registry protocol for The Recursive Pattern (working paper v1, DOI 10.5281/zenodo.23246408). Predictions are logged before their outcomes, with HIT/MISS defined in advance and base rates stated before each window opens; the theory's test is whether timestamped predictions beat their own pre-registered base rates. Both kill criteria are operational: Kill 1 (definitional — hindsight-only recognition is story, not structure) and Kill 2 (statistical — hit rate not above base rate kills it, tie included). The §10 proposal layer was adopted November 9, 2026 (base-rate sources; minimum N = 20 scored entries before any claim; exact Poisson-binomial test as supporting evidence; VOID category; public-scale sub-tally; role-label anonymization; the October draft RP-001 left in October, never locked, never backdated). The registry opens empty: no predictions are registered in this record. This deposit is the timestamped protocol lock, not a results publication.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Academic Publishing and Open Access
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.

Laika access coming soon