Component-Wise Shewhart-CUSUM Monitoring for Progressively Type-II Censored Weibull Lifetime Processes

Progressive Type-II censoring presents important challenges for monitoring lifetime processes, particularly when distributional changes affect multiple parameters. This study proposes a component-wise combined Shewhart–CUSUM monitoring framework for progressively Type-II censored Weibull lifetime processes, with minimum density power divergence estimation (MDPDE) incorporated as an optional robust estimation component. The Weibull scale and shape estimates are transformed into finite-sample signed normal scores using Monte Carlo reference distributions, enabling directional monitoring of individual parameter changes. A two-sided Shewhart mechanism and four directional CUSUM statistics are jointly calibrated to achieve a nominal in-control average run length of approximately 370. Simulation results under early, uniform, and late progressive censoring demonstrate effective detection of scale, shape, and simultaneous parameter changes. The CUSUM component provides sensitivity to moderate persistent shifts, whereas the Shewhart component contributes to the immediate detection of large transient departures. An external comparison with an existing EWMA-MAX chart shows shorter out-of-control average run lengths for the proposed procedure across the 36 investigated configurations. Robustness analyses indicate that positive MDPDE tuning can improve shape-parameter estimation but does not consistently enhance the monitoring performance relative to maximum likelihood estimation. Its benefits depend on the censoring scheme, contamination direction, and affected parameter. The framework is further illustrated using Kevlar 49/epoxy stress-rupture data, where an immediate Shewhart signal is followed by directional CUSUM signals confirming persistent distributional changes. Overall, the proposed approach provides a censoring-aware and interpretable monitoring framework that combines complementary detection mechanisms with an optional, condition-dependent robust estimation component.

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Publication Details

Journal
Mathematics
Published
2026-11-09
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/math14214103
Primary Topic
Advanced Statistical Process Monitoring
Type
article
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article

Component-Wise Shewhart-CUSUM Monitoring for Progressively Type-II Censored Weibull Lifetime Processes

Ayşe Turan Buğatekin, Sinan Çalık
Mathematics
Advanced Statistical Process Monitoring
article

Component-Wise Shewhart-CUSUM Monitoring for Progressively Type-II Censored Weibull Lifetime Processes

Ayşe Turan Buğatekin, Sinan Çalık
article en

Abstract

Progressive Type-II censoring presents important challenges for monitoring lifetime processes, particularly when distributional changes affect multiple parameters. This study proposes a component-wise combined Shewhart–CUSUM monitoring framework for progressively Type-II censored Weibull lifetime processes, with minimum density power divergence estimation (MDPDE) incorporated as an optional robust estimation component. The Weibull scale and shape estimates are transformed into finite-sample signed normal scores using Monte Carlo reference distributions, enabling directional monitoring of individual parameter changes. A two-sided Shewhart mechanism and four directional CUSUM statistics are jointly calibrated to achieve a nominal in-control average run length of approximately 370. Simulation results under early, uniform, and late progressive censoring demonstrate effective detection of scale, shape, and simultaneous parameter changes. The CUSUM component provides sensitivity to moderate persistent shifts, whereas the Shewhart component contributes to the immediate detection of large transient departures. An external comparison with an existing EWMA-MAX chart shows shorter out-of-control average run lengths for the proposed procedure across the 36 investigated configurations. Robustness analyses indicate that positive MDPDE tuning can improve shape-parameter estimation but does not consistently enhance the monitoring performance relative to maximum likelihood estimation. Its benefits depend on the censoring scheme, contamination direction, and affected parameter. The framework is further illustrated using Kevlar 49/epoxy stress-rupture data, where an immediate Shewhart signal is followed by directional CUSUM signals confirming persistent distributional changes. Overall, the proposed approach provides a censoring-aware and interpretable monitoring framework that combines complementary detection mechanisms with an optional, condition-dependent robust estimation component.

MathematicsVol. 14(21)
Fırat University (TR)
Advanced Statistical Process Monitoring
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