Great power competition in the Central Sahel and the multipolar order

The Central Sahel is a highly volatile arena for multipolar competition between the US, China, and Russia. While traditional narratives view the region as a passive victim, this study examines how contemporary foreign relations are actively managed by local political structures. Through qualitative document analysis of US aid, Chinese infrastructure investment, and Russian security apparatuses, results show foreign influences are more nuanced than conventional dependency models. Transitional military regimes actively leverage geopolitical frictions to bypass Western conditionalities, secure non-normative capital, and ensure regime survival. However, this strategic shift in external sponsors perpetuates structural dependency and exacerbates instability. The study concludes these countries must prioritize consolidating state capacities, ensuring regional integration, and strategically engaging middle powers to establish favorable cooperation conditions.

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Publication Details

Journal
Cadernos de Estudos Africanos
Published
2026-11-09
DOI
https://doi.org/10.15847/cea51.49916
Primary Topic
Global Political and Social Dynamics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Great power competition in the Central Sahel and the multipolar order

Arta Haxhixhemajli
Cadernos de Estudos Africanos
Global Political and Social Dynamics
article

Great power competition in the Central Sahel and the multipolar order

Arta Haxhixhemajli
article en

Abstract

The Central Sahel is a highly volatile arena for multipolar competition between the US, China, and Russia. While traditional narratives view the region as a passive victim, this study examines how contemporary foreign relations are actively managed by local political structures. Through qualitative document analysis of US aid, Chinese infrastructure investment, and Russian security apparatuses, results show foreign influences are more nuanced than conventional dependency models. Transitional military regimes actively leverage geopolitical frictions to bypass Western conditionalities, secure non-normative capital, and ensure regime survival. However, this strategic shift in external sponsors perpetuates structural dependency and exacerbates instability. The study concludes these countries must prioritize consolidating state capacities, ensuring regional integration, and strategically engaging middle powers to establish favorable cooperation conditions.

Cadernos de Estudos Africanos(51)
Global Political and Social Dynamics
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