Satellite-observed greenness expansion across Antarctica
Abstract Polar ecosystems are reshaping rapidly in the 21st century, yet Antarctica's continent-wide terrestrial vegetation response remains unclear. Here, using 22 years (2002-2023) of daily MODIS products, we provide the first continent-wide, multi-decadal record of spectral greenness. The area of satellite product exhibiting greenness increased by more than 50%, from 7,356 to 11,219 km², and mean seasonal detection span lengthened from 22.6 to 32.4 days. Both trends were significant across all three major Antarctic regions. Water availability and ultraviolet radiation together account for 77% of modeled continental climate contributions, while temperature contributes less. Modeled regional contributions diverge sharply: water dominates in East Antarctica, ultraviolet-radiation on the Antarctic Peninsula, and ultraviolet-radiation and temperature jointly in West Antarctica. These results reveal shared spatial and seasonal greening across contrasting Antarctic changing environments.
Authors
- Becky A. Ball (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8592-1316)
- Yanlan Liu (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5129-6284)
- Hangkai You (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7678-947X)
- Nicolas Lauret (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0594-6252)
- Fa Li (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0625-5587)
- Bilgecan Şen (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7393-1805)
- Dalei Hao (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3497-9774)
- Abhishek Chatterjee (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3680-0160)
- Fujiang Ji (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4623-7487)
- Christian Che‐Castaldo (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7670-2178)
- Matthew A. Lazzara (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4343-498X)
- Min Chen (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6311-7124)
- Yingjie Wang (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5041-8550)
- Taejin Park (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0698-6942)
- Eric Chavanon
- Zhuosen Wang
Institutions
- Ames Research Center (US)
- United States Geological Survey (US)
- Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (FR)
- Goddard Space Flight Center (US)
- University of Wisconsin–Madison (US)
- Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (US)
- University of California, Los Angeles (US)
- Institut National de Recherche pour l'Agriculture, l'Alimentation et l'Environnement (FR)
- Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (FR)
- Schmidt Sciences (US)
- Université de Toulouse (FR)
- Arizona State University (US)
- Stony Brook University (US)
- The University of Texas at Austin (US)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Research Square
- Published
- 2026-11-09
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-11568957/v1
- Primary Topic
- Remote Sensing in Agriculture
- Type
- preprint