A further acceleration of clean energy is needed for global CO2 emissions to peak and decline

Abstract Global fossil fuel CO 2 emissions have grown 0.8% per year on average between 2019 and 2025. Here we project a decrease of 0.4% in 2026, probably as a short-term response to the energy shock triggered by the Iran conflict. Electric vehicles and solar and wind power offset about 64–79% of increasing emissions from demand growth through 2028; acceleration in clean technology deployment is needed to guarantee emissions peak and subsequent decline.

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Publication Details

Journal
Nature Climate Change
Published
2026-11-10
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-026-02821-8
Primary Topic
Global Energy and Sustainability Research
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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A further acceleration of clean energy is needed for global CO2 emissions to peak and decline

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article en

Abstract

Abstract Global fossil fuel CO 2 emissions have grown 0.8% per year on average between 2019 and 2025. Here we project a decrease of 0.4% in 2026, probably as a short-term response to the energy shock triggered by the Iran conflict. Electric vehicles and solar and wind power offset about 64–79% of increasing emissions from demand growth through 2028; acceleration in clean technology deployment is needed to guarantee emissions peak and subsequent decline.

Nature Climate Change
Global Energy and Sustainability Research
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