Hybrid Metaheuristic–AI Modeling for Accurate Prediction of CO₂ Solubility in Amine–Ionic Liquid Hybrid Solvents

Reducing CO₂ emissions from fossil-fuel-based processes requires accurate and reliable predictive tools for designing advanced solvent systems for post-combustion carbon capture. In this study, an extensive experimental database of CO₂ solubility in hybrid amine–ionic liquid (IL) solvents was compiled and modeled using four hybrid metaheuristic–machine-learning frameworks: Histogram-Based Gradient Boosting combined with the Multi-Verse Optimization Algorithm (HistGBoost-MVOA), Tabular Neural Network combined with the Moth-Flame Optimization Algorithm (TabNet-MFOA), Support Vector Regression combined with the Improved Whale Optimization Algorithm (SVR-IWOA), and Extreme Learning Machine combined with the Jellyfish Optimization Algorithm (ELM-JFOA). The input variables included temperature, amine concentration, IL concentration, molecular weights of the amine and IL, and CO₂ partial pressure, while the CO₂ mole fraction in the liquid phase (xCO₂) was considered the target variable. To ensure robust model development, outlier detection was performed using the Isolation Forest algorithm, followed by Robust Scaling for data normalization. Model performance was evaluated using repeated 10-fold cross-validation and independent testing based on R², RMSE, MAE, MAPE, and PBIAS, together with Taylor diagrams, centered RMSE (cRMSE), SHAP-based interpretability analysis, and bootstrap uncertainty quantification. All developed models demonstrated excellent predictive capability (testing R² > 0.96), with SVR-IWOA consistently achieving the highest prediction accuracy and the narrowest uncertainty intervals. SHAP analysis identified the molecular weight of the ionic liquid and temperature as the most influential variables governing CO₂ solubility. The proposed modeling framework provides a robust and interpretable data-driven approach for accurately predicting CO₂ solubility and supports the design and optimization of hybrid amine–ionic liquid solvents for carbon capture applications.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Machine Learning Advances
Published
2026-11-10
DOI
https://doi.org/10.66879/jmla.2026.37
Primary Topic
Carbon Dioxide Capture Technologies
Type
article
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article

Hybrid Metaheuristic–AI Modeling for Accurate Prediction of CO₂ Solubility in Amine–Ionic Liquid Hybrid Solvents

Alireza Goodarzi-Mohammadi, Soudabeh Khalilian
Journal of Machine Learning Advances
Carbon Dioxide Capture Technologies
article

Hybrid Metaheuristic–AI Modeling for Accurate Prediction of CO₂ Solubility in Amine–Ionic Liquid Hybrid Solvents

Alireza Goodarzi-Mohammadi, Soudabeh Khalilian
article en

Abstract

Reducing CO₂ emissions from fossil-fuel-based processes requires accurate and reliable predictive tools for designing advanced solvent systems for post-combustion carbon capture. In this study, an extensive experimental database of CO₂ solubility in hybrid amine–ionic liquid (IL) solvents was compiled and modeled using four hybrid metaheuristic–machine-learning frameworks: Histogram-Based Gradient Boosting combined with the Multi-Verse Optimization Algorithm (HistGBoost-MVOA), Tabular Neural Network combined with the Moth-Flame Optimization Algorithm (TabNet-MFOA), Support Vector Regression combined with the Improved Whale Optimization Algorithm (SVR-IWOA), and Extreme Learning Machine combined with the Jellyfish Optimization Algorithm (ELM-JFOA). The input variables included temperature, amine concentration, IL concentration, molecular weights of the amine and IL, and CO₂ partial pressure, while the CO₂ mole fraction in the liquid phase (xCO₂) was considered the target variable. To ensure robust model development, outlier detection was performed using the Isolation Forest algorithm, followed by Robust Scaling for data normalization. Model performance was evaluated using repeated 10-fold cross-validation and independent testing based on R², RMSE, MAE, MAPE, and PBIAS, together with Taylor diagrams, centered RMSE (cRMSE), SHAP-based interpretability analysis, and bootstrap uncertainty quantification. All developed models demonstrated excellent predictive capability (testing R² > 0.96), with SVR-IWOA consistently achieving the highest prediction accuracy and the narrowest uncertainty intervals. SHAP analysis identified the molecular weight of the ionic liquid and temperature as the most influential variables governing CO₂ solubility. The proposed modeling framework provides a robust and interpretable data-driven approach for accurately predicting CO₂ solubility and supports the design and optimization of hybrid amine–ionic liquid solvents for carbon capture applications.

Journal of Machine Learning AdvancesVol. 2(1)
Islamic Azad University, Tehran (IR), Petroleum University of Technology (IR)
Carbon Dioxide Capture Technologies
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