RISK FACTORS AND A MULTIFACTORIAL PREDICTIVE MODEL OF DIMINISHED OVARIAN RESERVE IN ADOLESCENT GIRLS AND WOMEN OF REPRODUCTIVE AGE IN OUTPATIENT PRACTICE

Background. Diminished ovarian reserve (DOR) is a leading cause of infertility, with early signs increasingly detected in adolescence. Objective: to assess risk factors and develop a multifactorial predictive model for early detection of DOR in adolescent girls and women of reproductive age in outpatient settings. Materials and methods: a two-stage study: retrospective analysis of 280 outpatient records from five risk groups and a prospective examination of 300 patients assessing hormonal profile and ovarian morphometry (AFC); the model used logistic regression with ROC analysis. Results: the most pronounced decline in AMH and AFC occurred after chemo/radiotherapy and with hereditary predisposition to POI. Independent predictors were FSH ≥10 mIU/mL, AMH <1.2 ng/mL, and AFC ≤5; AUC 0.91 at threshold P ≥0.48 (sensitivity 86%, specificity 83%). Conclusions: combined clinical, hormonal, and ultrasound assessment reliably predicts DOR risk and supports risk stratification in outpatient practice.

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Publication Details

Journal
Central Asian Journal of Academic Research
Published
2026-11-09
DOI
https://doi.org/10.70413/cajar-v04-i10-a10160
Primary Topic
Ovarian function and disorders
Type
article
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article

RISK FACTORS AND A MULTIFACTORIAL PREDICTIVE MODEL OF DIMINISHED OVARIAN RESERVE IN ADOLESCENT GIRLS AND WOMEN OF REPRODUCTIVE AGE IN OUTPATIENT PRACTICE

Yuldasheva Suraya Zarifovna, Sevil Nozimkhonovna Abdullaeva, Fozilakhon Rustamovna Ikromova
Central Asian Journal of Academic Research
Ovarian function and disorders
article

RISK FACTORS AND A MULTIFACTORIAL PREDICTIVE MODEL OF DIMINISHED OVARIAN RESERVE IN ADOLESCENT GIRLS AND WOMEN OF REPRODUCTIVE AGE IN OUTPATIENT PRACTICE

Yuldasheva Suraya Zarifovna, Sevil Nozimkhonovna Abdullaeva, Fozilakhon Rustamovna Ikromova
article en

Abstract

Background. Diminished ovarian reserve (DOR) is a leading cause of infertility, with early signs increasingly detected in adolescence. Objective: to assess risk factors and develop a multifactorial predictive model for early detection of DOR in adolescent girls and women of reproductive age in outpatient settings. Materials and methods: a two-stage study: retrospective analysis of 280 outpatient records from five risk groups and a prospective examination of 300 patients assessing hormonal profile and ovarian morphometry (AFC); the model used logistic regression with ROC analysis. Results: the most pronounced decline in AMH and AFC occurred after chemo/radiotherapy and with hereditary predisposition to POI. Independent predictors were FSH ≥10 mIU/mL, AMH <1.2 ng/mL, and AFC ≤5; AUC 0.91 at threshold P ≥0.48 (sensitivity 86%, specificity 83%). Conclusions: combined clinical, hormonal, and ultrasound assessment reliably predicts DOR risk and supports risk stratification in outpatient practice.

Central Asian Journal of Academic ResearchVol. 4(10)
Tashkent State Medical University (UZ)
Ovarian function and disorders
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