The second largest outdegree of conditioned Galton–Watson trees with infinite variance

Let $\xi$ be a random variable with values in $\{0,1,2,\dots\}$ and $\mathbb E\xi=1$, let $Y_{(1)}\ge Y_{(2)}\ge\dots$ be the outdegrees, in decreasing order, of a Galton–Watson tree with offspring distribution $\xi$ conditioned to have $n$ vertices, and let $\xi_{(1)}\ge\xi_{(2)}\ge\dots$ be the order statistics of $n$ independent copies of $\xi$. Janson proved that if $\xi$ has finite variance then, for every fixed $j$, $Y_{(j)}$ and $\xi_{(j)}$ have asymptotically the same distribution. He asked whether two consequences of this remain true when the variance is infinite: that $Y_{(1)}<h(n)$ with high probability when $n\mathbb P(\xi\ge h(n))\to0$, and that $Y_{(j)}\ge h(n)$ with high probability for every fixed $j$ when $n\mathbb P(\xi\ge h(n))\to\infty$. Kortchemski and Richier showed that the first can fail. We show that the second can fail as well. We construct an offspring distribution with mean $1$ and infinite variance, and integers $n_r\to\infty$ and $L_r$ with $n_r\mathbb P(\xi\ge L_r)\ge r$, such that with probability at least $1-1/r$ the conditioned tree with $n_r$ vertices has exactly one vertex of outdegree at least $L_r$, of outdegree $(r+\frac12)L_r$, while all other vertices have outdegree at most $L_r/(64(\log n_r)^2)$. Along $n_r$ the largest outdegree is of larger order than $\xi_{(1)}$ and the second largest is of smaller order than $\xi_{(2)}$, and each of the six conclusions of Janson's theorem fails. The same holds for the random allocation of $n-1$ balls into $n$ boxes.

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Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-11-08
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.24069926
Primary Topic
Stochastic processes and statistical mechanics
Type
preprint
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preprint

The second largest outdegree of conditioned Galton–Watson trees with infinite variance

Yitzchak Shmalo
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Stochastic processes and statistical mechanics
preprint

The second largest outdegree of conditioned Galton–Watson trees with infinite variance

Yitzchak Shmalo
preprint en

Abstract

Let $\xi$ be a random variable with values in $\{0,1,2,\dots\}$ and $\mathbb E\xi=1$, let $Y_{(1)}\ge Y_{(2)}\ge\dots$ be the outdegrees, in decreasing order, of a Galton–Watson tree with offspring distribution $\xi$ conditioned to have $n$ vertices, and let $\xi_{(1)}\ge\xi_{(2)}\ge\dots$ be the order statistics of $n$ independent copies of $\xi$. Janson proved that if $\xi$ has finite variance then, for every fixed $j$, $Y_{(j)}$ and $\xi_{(j)}$ have asymptotically the same distribution. He asked whether two consequences of this remain true when the variance is infinite: that $Y_{(1)}<h(n)$ with high probability when $n\mathbb P(\xi\ge h(n))\to0$, and that $Y_{(j)}\ge h(n)$ with high probability for every fixed $j$ when $n\mathbb P(\xi\ge h(n))\to\infty$. Kortchemski and Richier showed that the first can fail. We show that the second can fail as well. We construct an offspring distribution with mean $1$ and infinite variance, and integers $n_r\to\infty$ and $L_r$ with $n_r\mathbb P(\xi\ge L_r)\ge r$, such that with probability at least $1-1/r$ the conditioned tree with $n_r$ vertices has exactly one vertex of outdegree at least $L_r$, of outdegree $(r+\frac12)L_r$, while all other vertices have outdegree at most $L_r/(64(\log n_r)^2)$. Along $n_r$ the largest outdegree is of larger order than $\xi_{(1)}$ and the second largest is of smaller order than $\xi_{(2)}$, and each of the six conclusions of Janson's theorem fails. The same holds for the random allocation of $n-1$ balls into $n$ boxes.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Hebrew University of Jerusalem (IL)
Stochastic processes and statistical mechanics
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