WHOM DO YOU TRUST?

Eight tests any reader can apply to any analyst or forecaster, in war, markets or economics, worked through the Iran war with CRUCIBEL tested first. Every day, decision makers act on what analysts and forecasters say will happen next. This paper sets out eight tests any reader can apply to any forecast, in war, markets or economics, and works them through the Iran war, CRUCIBEL included. Published in CRUCIBEL Journal, 2026-11-07. Read the paper online: https://crucibeljournal.com/whom-do-you-trust/

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-11-07
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.24044883
Primary Topic
Forecasting Techniques and Applications
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

WHOM DO YOU TRUST?

Dino Garner
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Forecasting Techniques and Applications
article

WHOM DO YOU TRUST?

Dino Garner
article en

Abstract

Eight tests any reader can apply to any analyst or forecaster, in war, markets or economics, worked through the Iran war with CRUCIBEL tested first. Every day, decision makers act on what analysts and forecasters say will happen next. This paper sets out eight tests any reader can apply to any forecast, in war, markets or economics, and works them through the Iran war, CRUCIBEL included. Published in CRUCIBEL Journal, 2026-11-07. Read the paper online: https://crucibeljournal.com/whom-do-you-trust/

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Openalex Percentile: Top 14%
Forecasting Techniques and Applications
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