Do Steel Bridges Age Worse Than Concrete? Superstructure Condition by Age for 58,984 Spans in the 2025 National Bridge Inventory of Ohio, New York and Pennsylvania

Using 2025 NBI on-records for Ohio, New York and Pennsylvania, I compare superstructure condition ratings (item 59) for steel (kinds 3-4), concrete (1-2) and prestressed (5-6) bridges by age. Among 58,984 spans built 1900-2024, steel and concrete have similar mean ages (57.7 and 59.3 years) and mean ratings (6.59 and 6.49); prestressed bridges are younger (38.5 years) and healthier (mean 7.12). The raw steel-concrete mean gap is only +0.10 rating points. Within ten-year age bins the gap stays between -0.05 and +0.22. OLS slopes of rating on age are -0.025 per year for steel and -0.030 for concrete. A logit for poor condition (rating ≤4) gives an average marginal effect of 0.29 points per year of age and +8.9 points for steel versus concrete, with a negative age-steel interaction: steel's disadvantage is larger at young ages and shrinks as both materials deteriorate. Poor-condition shares are 6.9% (steel), 6.1% (concrete) and 3.1% (prestressed).

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Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-11-07
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.24025255
Primary Topic
Civil and Structural Engineering Research
Type
preprint
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preprint

Do Steel Bridges Age Worse Than Concrete? Superstructure Condition by Age for 58,984 Spans in the 2025 National Bridge Inventory of Ohio, New York and Pennsylvania

Manoj Kumar Aguru
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Civil and Structural Engineering Research
preprint

Do Steel Bridges Age Worse Than Concrete? Superstructure Condition by Age for 58,984 Spans in the 2025 National Bridge Inventory of Ohio, New York and Pennsylvania

Manoj Kumar Aguru
preprint en

Abstract

Using 2025 NBI on-records for Ohio, New York and Pennsylvania, I compare superstructure condition ratings (item 59) for steel (kinds 3-4), concrete (1-2) and prestressed (5-6) bridges by age. Among 58,984 spans built 1900-2024, steel and concrete have similar mean ages (57.7 and 59.3 years) and mean ratings (6.59 and 6.49); prestressed bridges are younger (38.5 years) and healthier (mean 7.12). The raw steel-concrete mean gap is only +0.10 rating points. Within ten-year age bins the gap stays between -0.05 and +0.22. OLS slopes of rating on age are -0.025 per year for steel and -0.030 for concrete. A logit for poor condition (rating ≤4) gives an average marginal effect of 0.29 points per year of age and +8.9 points for steel versus concrete, with a negative age-steel interaction: steel's disadvantage is larger at young ages and shrinks as both materials deteriorate. Poor-condition shares are 6.9% (steel), 6.1% (concrete) and 3.1% (prestressed).

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Chaitanya (IN)
Civil and Structural Engineering Research
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