Distributionally Robust Bidding Strategy for Co-Located and Integrated Wind–PV–Storage Hybrid Resources in Day-Ahead and Real-Time Electricity Markets

With the growing demand for flexibility in emerging power systems, hybrid-resources characterized by the coordinated deployment of renewable generation and energy storage have become an increasingly important form of renewable-energy development and market participation. However, in a day-ahead–real-time dual-settlement electricity market, uncertainties in wind and photovoltaic (PV) generation not only affect day-ahead bidding revenues but also influence revenue realization through real-time deviation settlement and energy-storage dispatch. Focusing on price-taking hybrid resource operators, this paper compares two representative market participation models: co-located hybrid resources (CHRs) and integrated hybrid resources (IHRs). Separate two-stage distributionally robust optimization (DRO) models are developed for the two configurations. In the first stage, day-ahead bidding schedules are determined based on wind and PV generation forecasts. In the second stage, real-time recourse decisions and energy-storage dispatch are implemented according to the actual available renewable output, thereby coordinating day-ahead revenues, real-time deviation revenues, and deviation-penalty risks. An initial set of representative scenarios is constructed using Latin hypercube sampling combined with a Wasserstein-distance-based scenario reduction method. A scenario-probability confidence set defined by combined 1-norm and infinity-norm constraints is then employed to characterize wind–PV uncertainty. Numerical results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed models and methodology.

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Publication Details

Journal
Processes
Published
2026-11-06
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/pr14213587
Primary Topic
Electric Power System Optimization
Type
article
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article

Distributionally Robust Bidding Strategy for Co-Located and Integrated Wind–PV–Storage Hybrid Resources in Day-Ahead and Real-Time Electricity Markets

Hongyu Guo, Haoyang Lu, Ruan Li, Wenhui Zhao et al.
3 links
Processes
Electric Power System Optimization
article

Distributionally Robust Bidding Strategy for Co-Located and Integrated Wind–PV–Storage Hybrid Resources in Day-Ahead and Real-Time Electricity Markets

Hongyu Guo, Haoyang Lu, Ruan Li, Wenhui Zhao, Xiaowei Guo, Yuanbo Gu
article en

Abstract

With the growing demand for flexibility in emerging power systems, hybrid-resources characterized by the coordinated deployment of renewable generation and energy storage have become an increasingly important form of renewable-energy development and market participation. However, in a day-ahead–real-time dual-settlement electricity market, uncertainties in wind and photovoltaic (PV) generation not only affect day-ahead bidding revenues but also influence revenue realization through real-time deviation settlement and energy-storage dispatch. Focusing on price-taking hybrid resource operators, this paper compares two representative market participation models: co-located hybrid resources (CHRs) and integrated hybrid resources (IHRs). Separate two-stage distributionally robust optimization (DRO) models are developed for the two configurations. In the first stage, day-ahead bidding schedules are determined based on wind and PV generation forecasts. In the second stage, real-time recourse decisions and energy-storage dispatch are implemented according to the actual available renewable output, thereby coordinating day-ahead revenues, real-time deviation revenues, and deviation-penalty risks. An initial set of representative scenarios is constructed using Latin hypercube sampling combined with a Wasserstein-distance-based scenario reduction method. A scenario-probability confidence set defined by combined 1-norm and infinity-norm constraints is then employed to characterize wind–PV uncertainty. Numerical results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed models and methodology.

ProcessesVol. 14(21)
University of Science and Technology of China (CN), Shanghai University of Electric Power (CN), Shanghai Electric (China) (CN)
Affordable and clean energy, Industry, innovation and infrastructure, Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 26%
Electric Power System Optimization
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