Is dark energy increasing or decreasing in the late universe? — E8 Intelligence Research

The concordance cosmological model ΛCDM assumes dark energy to be a constant, consistent with early-time observations, evidenced by Planck-ΛCDM analyses. However, in the face of late-time tensions, the nature of dark energy remains a central open problem. Modern precision cosmology offers a potential new window into the nature of dark energy in the w(a)CDM framework, which provides a model-independent prescription for its unknown equation of state w(a). A confrontation of w(a)CDM with data generally constitutes a nonlinear inference problem. We find that w0wa estimates posterior to a fully non-linear w(a) analysis are stabilized by the Baryon Acoustic Oscillation (BAO) constraint on cM=Ωm,0h2 Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-11-06
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23998389
Primary Topic
Cosmology and Gravitation Theories
Type
preprint
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Is dark energy increasing or decreasing in the late universe? — E8 Intelligence Research

Andrew Stewart Caldin
1 links
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Cosmology and Gravitation Theories
preprint

Is dark energy increasing or decreasing in the late universe? — E8 Intelligence Research

Andrew Stewart Caldin
preprint en

Abstract

The concordance cosmological model ΛCDM assumes dark energy to be a constant, consistent with early-time observations, evidenced by Planck-ΛCDM analyses. However, in the face of late-time tensions, the nature of dark energy remains a central open problem. Modern precision cosmology offers a potential new window into the nature of dark energy in the w(a)CDM framework, which provides a model-independent prescription for its unknown equation of state w(a). A confrontation of w(a)CDM with data generally constitutes a nonlinear inference problem. We find that w0wa estimates posterior to a fully non-linear w(a) analysis are stabilized by the Baryon Acoustic Oscillation (BAO) constraint on cM=Ωm,0h2 Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Cosmology and Gravitation Theories
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