Record‐Shattering Winter “Heatwave” Over the Antarctic Peninsula in 2026, Associated Primarily With Tropical East Indian Ocean Surface Temperature Anomalies

Abstract Extreme winter warming events over the Antarctic Peninsula (AP) have potential impacts on ice‐shelf stability, but their mechanisms and teleconnections remain poorly studied. Using multi‐station observations, we report several warm extremes during May–June 2026, with early–June temperatures exceeding 0°C and peak anomalies reaching +22.32°C. These extremes were primarily driven by a pressure‐dipole pattern, featuring an enhanced Amundsen Sea Low and Drake Passage blocking, which directed frequent atmospheric river landfalls. The resulting moisture‐heat advection, alongside enhanced downward longwave radiation, dominated the rapid warming over the AP. Notably, record‐high sea surface temperatures in the tropical eastern Indian Ocean played a key role in this anomalous circulation, whereas the concurrent El Niño (still developing) had minimal direct impact. Our findings enrich the rare wintertime cases and identify the tropical Indian Ocean as a key precursor for improving projections of such events, which is also essential for estimating their impact on ice‐shelf stability.

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Publication Details

Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
Published
2026-11-06
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1029/2026gl126171
Primary Topic
Climate variability and models
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Record‐Shattering Winter “Heatwave” Over the Antarctic Peninsula in 2026, Associated Primarily With Tropical East Indian Ocean Surface Temperature Anomalies

Yetang Wang, Zhaosheng Zhai, Xiaolu Li, Yulun Zhang et al.
2 links
Geophysical Research Letters
Climate variability and models
article

Record‐Shattering Winter “Heatwave” Over the Antarctic Peninsula in 2026, Associated Primarily With Tropical East Indian Ocean Surface Temperature Anomalies

Yetang Wang, Zhaosheng Zhai, Xiaolu Li, Yulun Zhang, Qingli Wu
article en

Abstract

Abstract Extreme winter warming events over the Antarctic Peninsula (AP) have potential impacts on ice‐shelf stability, but their mechanisms and teleconnections remain poorly studied. Using multi‐station observations, we report several warm extremes during May–June 2026, with early–June temperatures exceeding 0°C and peak anomalies reaching +22.32°C. These extremes were primarily driven by a pressure‐dipole pattern, featuring an enhanced Amundsen Sea Low and Drake Passage blocking, which directed frequent atmospheric river landfalls. The resulting moisture‐heat advection, alongside enhanced downward longwave radiation, dominated the rapid warming over the AP. Notably, record‐high sea surface temperatures in the tropical eastern Indian Ocean played a key role in this anomalous circulation, whereas the concurrent El Niño (still developing) had minimal direct impact. Our findings enrich the rare wintertime cases and identify the tropical Indian Ocean as a key precursor for improving projections of such events, which is also essential for estimating their impact on ice‐shelf stability.

Geophysical Research LettersVol. 53(21)
Shandong Normal University (CN)
National Natural Science Foundation of China, Young Scientists Fund, National Key Research and Development Program of China
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 24%
Climate variability and models
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Record‐Shattering Winter “Heatwave” Over the Antarctic Peninsula in 2026, Associated Primarily With Tropical East Indian Ocean Surface Temperature Anomalies — Yetang Wang, Zhaosheng Zhai, et al. · Geophysical Research Letters (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS