Population Aging and Ineffectiveness of Monetary Policy in Developing Economies

Abstract Recent strands of literature have argued that population aging diminishes the effectiveness of monetary policies. It is not only the OECD countries but also the developing economies that are currently experiencing a declining demographic dividend. The impact of population aging on the effectiveness of conventional monetary policies in developing economies remains underexplored. Using country-level panel data this is the first scholarly attempt to test the hypothesis that population aging diminishes the effectiveness of monetary policies in 15 developing economies. The results of the first-difference fixed-effects estimators with Driscoll-Kraay Covariance strongly support the hypothesis. The policy implications are discussed. JEL Classification Codes : E52, E58, J11

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Publication Details

Journal
Research Square
Published
2026-11-05
DOI
https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-11225243/v1
Primary Topic
Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
Type
preprint
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preprint

Population Aging and Ineffectiveness of Monetary Policy in Developing Economies

Rajarshi Mitra, Mohanad Ismael
Research Square
Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
preprint

Population Aging and Ineffectiveness of Monetary Policy in Developing Economies

Rajarshi Mitra, Mohanad Ismael
preprint en

Abstract

Abstract Recent strands of literature have argued that population aging diminishes the effectiveness of monetary policies. It is not only the OECD countries but also the developing economies that are currently experiencing a declining demographic dividend. The impact of population aging on the effectiveness of conventional monetary policies in developing economies remains underexplored. Using country-level panel data this is the first scholarly attempt to test the hypothesis that population aging diminishes the effectiveness of monetary policies in 15 developing economies. The results of the first-difference fixed-effects estimators with Driscoll-Kraay Covariance strongly support the hypothesis. The policy implications are discussed. JEL Classification Codes : E52, E58, J11

Research Square
Tokyo International University (JP), Birzeit University (PS)
Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
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