Large Language Model-Enhanced Electronic Frailty Assessment and Prognostic Performance in Hospitalized Adults: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Background: Electronic frailty indices (eFIs) derived from structured electronic health record (EHR) data may incompletely capture functional deficits. Large language models (LLMs) can extract frailty-related information from clinical notes, but whether improved frailty ascertainment improves prognostic performance is uncertain. Objective: To compare frailty ascertainment and prognostic performance between standard and LLM-enhanced eFIs among hospitalized adults. Design: Retrospective cohort study Participants: Adults aged 50 years or older enrolled in two studies at an academic medical center and affiliated community hospital between February 2022 and April 2024. Main Measures: A validated 35-deficit diagnosis-based eFI and an LLM-enhanced eFI incorporating deficits extracted from physical therapy (PT) documentation using GPT-4o. Frailty was defined using an index threshold of 0.20 or more. The primary outcome was a composite of discharge to a facility, readmission, or death within 90 days. Multivariable logistic regression models assessed associations with the outcome, and discrimination was compared using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). Secondary analyses examined threshold-based classification and PT-documentation availability; prespecified sensitivity analyses evaluated population and outcome restrictions. Results: Among 616 hospitalizations, mean (SD) age was 70.9 (10.2) years, 329 (53.4%) had PT documentation, and 320 (51.9%) experienced the composite outcome. Standard and LLM-enhanced eFIs classified 216 (35.1%) and 362 (58.8%) hospitalizations as frail, respectively. Both were independently associated with the outcome (standard eFI: adjusted OR, 1.98 [95% CI, 1.39-2.83]; LLM-enhanced eFI: adjusted OR, 2.46 [95% CI, 1.75-3.47]). Discrimination did not differ significantly (AUROC, 0.636 vs 0.660; difference, 0.024 [95% CI, -0.006 to 0.053]; p=0.12). LLM enhancement increased sensitivity (42.5% to 69.4%) but decreased specificity (73.0% to 52.7%). Conclusions: LLM enhancement substantially increased frailty ascertainment and sensitivity for adverse outcomes but did not significantly improve prognostic discrimination. Thus, LLM-enhanced frailty assessment may depend on whether the intended use prioritizes broad identification of functional vulnerability or prediction of adverse post-hospital outcomes.

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Journal
medRxiv
Published
2026-11-05
DOI
https://doi.org/10.64898/2026.11.04.26367272
Primary Topic
Frailty in Older Adults
Type
preprint
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preprint

Large Language Model-Enhanced Electronic Frailty Assessment and Prognostic Performance in Hospitalized Adults: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Li Zhou, Stephanie K. Mueller, Anuj K. Dalal, Natalie C. Ernecoff et al.
medRxiv
Frailty in Older Adults
preprint

Large Language Model-Enhanced Electronic Frailty Assessment and Prognostic Performance in Hospitalized Adults: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Li Zhou, Stephanie K. Mueller, Anuj K. Dalal, Natalie C. Ernecoff, Ariela R. Orkaby, John Lundstedt, Joseph Michael Plasek, Savanna Plombon, Stuart R. Lipsitz, Shoshana Streiter, Julia Loewenthal, Marie Leeson, Julie M. Fiskio
preprint en

Abstract

Background: Electronic frailty indices (eFIs) derived from structured electronic health record (EHR) data may incompletely capture functional deficits. Large language models (LLMs) can extract frailty-related information from clinical notes, but whether improved frailty ascertainment improves prognostic performance is uncertain. Objective: To compare frailty ascertainment and prognostic performance between standard and LLM-enhanced eFIs among hospitalized adults. Design: Retrospective cohort study Participants: Adults aged 50 years or older enrolled in two studies at an academic medical center and affiliated community hospital between February 2022 and April 2024. Main Measures: A validated 35-deficit diagnosis-based eFI and an LLM-enhanced eFI incorporating deficits extracted from physical therapy (PT) documentation using GPT-4o. Frailty was defined using an index threshold of 0.20 or more. The primary outcome was a composite of discharge to a facility, readmission, or death within 90 days. Multivariable logistic regression models assessed associations with the outcome, and discrimination was compared using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). Secondary analyses examined threshold-based classification and PT-documentation availability; prespecified sensitivity analyses evaluated population and outcome restrictions. Results: Among 616 hospitalizations, mean (SD) age was 70.9 (10.2) years, 329 (53.4%) had PT documentation, and 320 (51.9%) experienced the composite outcome. Standard and LLM-enhanced eFIs classified 216 (35.1%) and 362 (58.8%) hospitalizations as frail, respectively. Both were independently associated with the outcome (standard eFI: adjusted OR, 1.98 [95% CI, 1.39-2.83]; LLM-enhanced eFI: adjusted OR, 2.46 [95% CI, 1.75-3.47]). Discrimination did not differ significantly (AUROC, 0.636 vs 0.660; difference, 0.024 [95% CI, -0.006 to 0.053]; p=0.12). LLM enhancement increased sensitivity (42.5% to 69.4%) but decreased specificity (73.0% to 52.7%). Conclusions: LLM enhancement substantially increased frailty ascertainment and sensitivity for adverse outcomes but did not significantly improve prognostic discrimination. Thus, LLM-enhanced frailty assessment may depend on whether the intended use prioritizes broad identification of functional vulnerability or prediction of adverse post-hospital outcomes.

medRxiv
Brigham and Women's Hospital (US), RAND Corporation (US)
Frailty in Older Adults
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