From Jurassic Paravian Theropods to the K–Pg Neoaves Radiation: Time-Tree Chronograms (246.5 to 0.0 Ma) Across 62 Dinosaurian and Avian Taxa

A single-column phylogenomic and paleontological preprint monograph synthesizing 62 extant, Holocene ancient-DNA, and Mesozoic/Paleogene fossil archosaurian, theropod, and avian taxa (1.54 Mb across VAL-SET-042, B = 500 RuNIE replicates, Z = +5.62 SD), resolving the Avian "Rocks vs. Clocks" discrepancy via Constrained Least-Squares Dating (LSD2), autocorrelated relaxed clocks, and microchromosomal GC3/NUMT filtering. For over two decades, avian macroevolution has been divided by a 35-to-45-million-year discrepancy between strict molecular clocks—which place the radiation of modern birds (Neoaves) deep in the Early Cretaceous (100–115 Ma)—and the paleontological record, where crown neoavian fossils appear abruptly after the 66.0 Ma Cretaceous–Paleogene (K–Pg) boundary. Here we synthesize 1,540,000 aligned sites (1.54 Mb) across 62 extant, Holocene ancient-DNA, and Mesozoic/Paleogene fossil archosaurian and avian taxa using RuNIE (Rust Native Inference Engine), Constrained Least-Squares Dating (LSD2), autocorrelated log-normal relaxed clocks, and dual-pass blinded compositional filtering across B = 500 bootstrap replicates. Excising GC3-saturated microchromosomal coding exons (GC3 = 86.4%) and a chromosome 2 nuclear mitochondrial pseudogene (NC_052533.1) while modeling the 2.84-fold post-Chicxulub substitution-rate surge places Paraves at 162.50 Ma, Crown Aves at 89.40 Ma, and Crown Neoaves at 66.80 Ma [95% CI: 65.40–68.20 Ma]—bringing genomic time-trees into direct quantitative concordance with the fossil record. A 62-taxon, 1.54 Mb time-calibrated phylogenomic synthesis from Crown Archosauria (246.5 Ma) and Jurassic Paraves (†Anchiornis 160 Ma, †Archaeopteryx 150 Ma) to Crown Aves (89.4 Ma) and Neoaves (66.8 Ma) evaluated across B = 500 RuNIE bootstrap replicates (99.4% ± 0.3% stability, Z = +5.62 SD). Filtering GC3-saturated microchromosomal exons (GC3 = 86.4%) and a Gallus chromosome 2 NUMT (NC_052533.1) while modeling the 2.84-fold K–Pg substitution-rate spike reconciles molecular clocks with the Maastrichtian–Paleocene fossil record (†Asteriornis 66.7 Ma, †Vegavis 66.5 Ma, †Waimanu 61.0 Ma). Canonical Preprint URL: https://crvscience.com/labs/preprints/theropoda-crown-aves-preprint Zenodo DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.23971261 Open-Source Software Repository (GNU GPL-3.0): https://github.com/bpwhite/crvscience-labs

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Figshare
Published
2026-11-05
DOI
https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.34921833
Primary Topic
Paleontology and Evolutionary Biology
Type
preprint
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
NOV
preprint

From Jurassic Paravian Theropods to the K–Pg Neoaves Radiation: Time-Tree Chronograms (246.5 to 0.0 Ma) Across 62 Dinosaurian and Avian Taxa

Bryan White
Figshare
Paleontology and Evolutionary Biology
preprint

From Jurassic Paravian Theropods to the K–Pg Neoaves Radiation: Time-Tree Chronograms (246.5 to 0.0 Ma) Across 62 Dinosaurian and Avian Taxa

Bryan White
preprint en

Abstract

A single-column phylogenomic and paleontological preprint monograph synthesizing 62 extant, Holocene ancient-DNA, and Mesozoic/Paleogene fossil archosaurian, theropod, and avian taxa (1.54 Mb across VAL-SET-042, B = 500 RuNIE replicates, Z = +5.62 SD), resolving the Avian "Rocks vs. Clocks" discrepancy via Constrained Least-Squares Dating (LSD2), autocorrelated relaxed clocks, and microchromosomal GC3/NUMT filtering. For over two decades, avian macroevolution has been divided by a 35-to-45-million-year discrepancy between strict molecular clocks—which place the radiation of modern birds (Neoaves) deep in the Early Cretaceous (100–115 Ma)—and the paleontological record, where crown neoavian fossils appear abruptly after the 66.0 Ma Cretaceous–Paleogene (K–Pg) boundary. Here we synthesize 1,540,000 aligned sites (1.54 Mb) across 62 extant, Holocene ancient-DNA, and Mesozoic/Paleogene fossil archosaurian and avian taxa using RuNIE (Rust Native Inference Engine), Constrained Least-Squares Dating (LSD2), autocorrelated log-normal relaxed clocks, and dual-pass blinded compositional filtering across B = 500 bootstrap replicates. Excising GC3-saturated microchromosomal coding exons (GC3 = 86.4%) and a chromosome 2 nuclear mitochondrial pseudogene (NC_052533.1) while modeling the 2.84-fold post-Chicxulub substitution-rate surge places Paraves at 162.50 Ma, Crown Aves at 89.40 Ma, and Crown Neoaves at 66.80 Ma [95% CI: 65.40–68.20 Ma]—bringing genomic time-trees into direct quantitative concordance with the fossil record. A 62-taxon, 1.54 Mb time-calibrated phylogenomic synthesis from Crown Archosauria (246.5 Ma) and Jurassic Paraves (†Anchiornis 160 Ma, †Archaeopteryx 150 Ma) to Crown Aves (89.4 Ma) and Neoaves (66.8 Ma) evaluated across B = 500 RuNIE bootstrap replicates (99.4% ± 0.3% stability, Z = +5.62 SD). Filtering GC3-saturated microchromosomal exons (GC3 = 86.4%) and a Gallus chromosome 2 NUMT (NC_052533.1) while modeling the 2.84-fold K–Pg substitution-rate spike reconciles molecular clocks with the Maastrichtian–Paleocene fossil record (†Asteriornis 66.7 Ma, †Vegavis 66.5 Ma, †Waimanu 61.0 Ma). Canonical Preprint URL: https://crvscience.com/labs/preprints/theropoda-crown-aves-preprint Zenodo DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.23971261 Open-Source Software Repository (GNU GPL-3.0): https://github.com/bpwhite/crvscience-labs

Figshare
Paleontology and Evolutionary Biology
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.

Laika access coming soon