Real-time Early Flare Alert System for the First Sounding Rocket Solar Flare Campaign

Abstract Understanding when and where a solar flare will occur continues to be an important goal for the heliophysics community, relevant to fundamental research, coordinated flare observations, and space weather applications. In 2024 April, the Focusing Optics X-ray Solar Imager (FOXSI-4) and High-resolution Coronal Imager (Hi-C Flare) carried out NASA’s first coordinated sounding rocket solar flare campaign at the Poker Flat Research Range (PFRR) in Fairbanks, Alaska, for the purpose of performing a triggered launch to observe a large (>C5 class) solar flare with flare-optimized instrumentation. For this campaign, we developed and successfully implemented a novel real-time early flare alert system that leverages low-latency solar imaging and irradiance measurements of the early stages of flares to establish when a large flare is imminent, predict the remaining duration, and identify the flare location in real time. By providing actionable flare nowcasts, this optimized collection of tools/visualizations informed real-time launch decisions and enabled the successful launch of the FOXSI-4 and Hi-C Flare experiments to observe a long-duration M-class flare. We detail the implementation of this early flare alert system, its operational validation during the launch, and the lessons learned to inform future flare monitoring systems and solar flare observing campaigns.

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Publication Details

Journal
The Astrophysical Journal
Published
2026-11-04
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3847/1538-4357/ae95fd
Primary Topic
Solar and Space Plasma Dynamics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Real-time Early Flare Alert System for the First Sounding Rocket Solar Flare Campaign

Amy R. Winebarger, Noriyuki Narukage, Sabrina Savage, Paolo Massa et al.
The Astrophysical Journal
Solar and Space Plasma Dynamics
article

Real-time Early Flare Alert System for the First Sounding Rocket Solar Flare Campaign

Amy R. Winebarger, Noriyuki Narukage, Sabrina Savage, Paolo Massa, Yumi Bamba, Phillip C. Chamberlin, A. G. Emslie, Robert W. Walsh, Yixian Zhang, Marianne Peterson, K. Kusano, Vicki Herde, Kristopher Cooper, Katharine K. Reeves, Genevieve D. Vigil, P. S. Athiray, Daniel F. Ryan, Lindsay Glesener, Orlando Romeo, Ryan O. Milligan, A. R. Jones, Rita J Borelli, Juan Camilo Buitrago‐Casas, Athanasios Pantazides, Juliana Vievering, Yoshiaki Sato, Jake Boils, Ndifreke Okon Nyah, Simon Shepard
article en

Abstract

Abstract Understanding when and where a solar flare will occur continues to be an important goal for the heliophysics community, relevant to fundamental research, coordinated flare observations, and space weather applications. In 2024 April, the Focusing Optics X-ray Solar Imager (FOXSI-4) and High-resolution Coronal Imager (Hi-C Flare) carried out NASA’s first coordinated sounding rocket solar flare campaign at the Poker Flat Research Range (PFRR) in Fairbanks, Alaska, for the purpose of performing a triggered launch to observe a large (>C5 class) solar flare with flare-optimized instrumentation. For this campaign, we developed and successfully implemented a novel real-time early flare alert system that leverages low-latency solar imaging and irradiance measurements of the early stages of flares to establish when a large flare is imminent, predict the remaining duration, and identify the flare location in real time. By providing actionable flare nowcasts, this optimized collection of tools/visualizations informed real-time launch decisions and enabled the successful launch of the FOXSI-4 and Hi-C Flare experiments to observe a long-duration M-class flare. We detail the implementation of this early flare alert system, its operational validation during the launch, and the lessons learned to inform future flare monitoring systems and solar flare observing campaigns.

The Astrophysical JournalVol. 1011(2)
Queen's University Belfast (GB), Marshall Space Flight Center (US), University of Minnesota (US), University of Lancashire (GB), Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory (US), FHNW University of Applied Sciences and Arts Northwestern Switzerland (CH), Laboratory for Atmospheric and Space Physics (US), Center for Astrophysics Harvard & Smithsonian (US), National Aeronautics and Space Administration (US), BAE Systems (United Kingdom) (GB), National Astronomical Observatory of Japan (JP), Space Sciences Laboratory (US), Institute for Space-Earth Environmental Research, Nagoya University (JP), University of Alabama in Huntsville (US), National Institute of Information and Communications Technology (JP)
Openalex Percentile: Top 16%
Solar and Space Plasma Dynamics
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