Prognostic value of deep-learning computational pathology in colorectal cancer: a systematic review of haematoxylin and eosin whole-slide image studies

Abstract Background Deep-learning computational pathology applied to routine haematoxylin and eosin whole-slide images may provide prognostic information in colorectal cancer. This systematic review evaluated the association between image-derived risk groups and survival. Methods PubMed and Web of Science Core Collection were searched from inception to 21 June 2026. Studies of colorectal cancer reporting a high-versus-low-risk hazard ratio derived from haematoxylin and eosin images were included. The most-adjusted estimate was selected, with preference for external validation. Random-effects meta-analysis, subgroup and leave-one-out analyses were performed. The recovered risk-of-bias panel reports Quality in Prognosis Studies domain judgements. The review was registered in PROSPERO (CRD420261429467). Results Across 27 studies, the pooled hazard ratio was 2.49 (95% confidence interval 2.12–2.93), with substantial heterogeneity (I² = 77%) and a 95% prediction interval of 1.25–4.97. Pooled estimates were 2.36 in externally validated studies (17 studies) and 2.74 in internally validated studies (10 studies); the difference was not statistically significant. Leave-one-out estimates ranged from 2.35 to 2.57. Conclusions Image-derived risk scores were associated with survival in colorectal cancer. Heterogeneity, differences in risk definitions and possible overlap between validation cohorts limit interpretation of a single pooled estimate. Independent prospective validation and evaluation of clinical utility are needed before these methods can guide treatment decisions.

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Publication Details

Journal
Research Square
Published
2026-11-04
DOI
https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-11297991/v1
Primary Topic
AI in cancer detection
Type
preprint
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Prognostic value of deep-learning computational pathology in colorectal cancer: a systematic review of haematoxylin and eosin whole-slide image studies

Yinkai Xu, Wen Gu, Chen Shen, Chenao Wang et al.
Research Square
AI in cancer detection
preprint

Prognostic value of deep-learning computational pathology in colorectal cancer: a systematic review of haematoxylin and eosin whole-slide image studies

Yinkai Xu, Wen Gu, Chen Shen, Chenao Wang, Liping Zhang, Yizhou Yao
preprint en

Abstract

Abstract Background Deep-learning computational pathology applied to routine haematoxylin and eosin whole-slide images may provide prognostic information in colorectal cancer. This systematic review evaluated the association between image-derived risk groups and survival. Methods PubMed and Web of Science Core Collection were searched from inception to 21 June 2026. Studies of colorectal cancer reporting a high-versus-low-risk hazard ratio derived from haematoxylin and eosin images were included. The most-adjusted estimate was selected, with preference for external validation. Random-effects meta-analysis, subgroup and leave-one-out analyses were performed. The recovered risk-of-bias panel reports Quality in Prognosis Studies domain judgements. The review was registered in PROSPERO (CRD420261429467). Results Across 27 studies, the pooled hazard ratio was 2.49 (95% confidence interval 2.12–2.93), with substantial heterogeneity (I² = 77%) and a 95% prediction interval of 1.25–4.97. Pooled estimates were 2.36 in externally validated studies (17 studies) and 2.74 in internally validated studies (10 studies); the difference was not statistically significant. Leave-one-out estimates ranged from 2.35 to 2.57. Conclusions Image-derived risk scores were associated with survival in colorectal cancer. Heterogeneity, differences in risk definitions and possible overlap between validation cohorts limit interpretation of a single pooled estimate. Independent prospective validation and evaluation of clinical utility are needed before these methods can guide treatment decisions.

Research Square
Suzhou Municipal Hospital (CN), First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University (CN), The Fourth Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University (Suzhou Dushu Lake Hospital) (CN), Nanjing Medical University (CN)
AI in cancer detection
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