New Wine in an Old Bottle -- NeuralPOM: A Hybrid Ocean Forecast Model with Differentiable Dynamics and Staged Learning

Coarse-grid ocean circulation models rely on empirical subgrid parameterizations that struggle to capture mesoscale eddies, whereas purely data-driven neural forecasters accumulate trajectory drift, violate tracer conservation, and damp small-scale variability over extended integrations. Here we present NeuralPOM, a hybrid ocean forecast model that couples differentiable explicit mode-split and semi-implicit free-surface implementations of the Princeton Ocean Model (POM) to a conservation-constrained neural corrector. The three-dimensional primitive-equation solver advances the ocean state, while the neural network periodically updates the physical fields at high-frequency (1 h) or low-frequency (1 day) intervals under volume, heat, and salt conservation constraints. Using a fine-grid reference dataset exceeding 100,000 model days in a wind-driven double-gyre basin, we introduce a three-stage training procedure comprising offline single-step pretraining, multi-step differentiable training through the ocean solver, and multi-day closed-loop rollout training. Over 100-day forecasts, NeuralPOM reduces errors across all prognostic fields relative to coarse-grid physical closures and direct neural forecasters, preserving mesoscale kinetic energy while improving eddy phase alignment. Controlled ablations show that closed-loop training suppresses multi-day drift, whereas backpropagating gradients through the differentiable solver stabilizes high-frequency coupling. Finally, because high-frequency tracer updates can introduce density anomalies via the equation of state that excite spurious baroclinic pressure gradients, we introduce Density-Normal Damping (DND) to attenuate the density-modifying (diapycnal) tracer component while retaining the density-compensated (isopycnal) correction.

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
arXiv (Cornell University)
Published
2026-11-02
DOI
https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2611.02460
Primary Topic
Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes
Type
preprint
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preprint

New Wine in an Old Bottle -- NeuralPOM: A Hybrid Ocean Forecast Model with Differentiable Dynamics and Staged Learning

Haomin Wen, Ruijian Gou, Ruiqi Shu, Tianrun Gao et al.
arXiv (Cornell University)
Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes
preprint

New Wine in an Old Bottle -- NeuralPOM: A Hybrid Ocean Forecast Model with Differentiable Dynamics and Staged Learning

Haomin Wen, Ruijian Gou, Ruiqi Shu, Tianrun Gao, Xiaomeng Huang, Guangliang Liu, Hao Li
preprint en

Abstract

Coarse-grid ocean circulation models rely on empirical subgrid parameterizations that struggle to capture mesoscale eddies, whereas purely data-driven neural forecasters accumulate trajectory drift, violate tracer conservation, and damp small-scale variability over extended integrations. Here we present NeuralPOM, a hybrid ocean forecast model that couples differentiable explicit mode-split and semi-implicit free-surface implementations of the Princeton Ocean Model (POM) to a conservation-constrained neural corrector. The three-dimensional primitive-equation solver advances the ocean state, while the neural network periodically updates the physical fields at high-frequency (1 h) or low-frequency (1 day) intervals under volume, heat, and salt conservation constraints. Using a fine-grid reference dataset exceeding 100,000 model days in a wind-driven double-gyre basin, we introduce a three-stage training procedure comprising offline single-step pretraining, multi-step differentiable training through the ocean solver, and multi-day closed-loop rollout training. Over 100-day forecasts, NeuralPOM reduces errors across all prognostic fields relative to coarse-grid physical closures and direct neural forecasters, preserving mesoscale kinetic energy while improving eddy phase alignment. Controlled ablations show that closed-loop training suppresses multi-day drift, whereas backpropagating gradients through the differentiable solver stabilizes high-frequency coupling. Finally, because high-frequency tracer updates can introduce density anomalies via the equation of state that excite spurious baroclinic pressure gradients, we introduce Density-Normal Damping (DND) to attenuate the density-modifying (diapycnal) tracer component while retaining the density-compensated (isopycnal) correction.

arXiv (Cornell University)
Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes
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New Wine in an Old Bottle -- NeuralPOM: A Hybrid Ocean Forecast Model with Differentiable Dynamics and Staged Learning — Haomin Wen, Ruijian Gou, et al. · arXiv (Cornell University) (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS