Nuclear contamination limits 14 CH 4 but not 14 CO 2 source attribution in a five-year Swiss atmospheric monitoring network

Abstract. Radiocarbon (¹⁴C) measurements of atmospheric CO₂ and CH₄ enable distinction between fossil and modern biogenic sources, providing critical constraints for emission inventories and mitigation efforts. We present multi-year, multi-site atmospheric ¹⁴CO₂ and ¹⁴CH₄ data from a monitoring network in Switzerland (2019–2023), combining fortnightly sampling at five boundary layer sites (4 rural and 1 urban) on the Swiss Plateau and the alpine background station Jungfraujoch with FLEXPART-COSMO atmospheric transport simulations based on Swiss and European emission inventories. Fossil CO2 estimates showed expected spatial patterns, with highest values at the urban site and reasonable agreement with inventory-based simulations. Nuclear Δ(14C, CO2) contamination was negligible (+0.2 ± 0.4 ‰) and recent observations of Swiss ecosystem respiration Δ(14C, CO2) signature indicated that the respiration correction was also quite small. In contrast, ¹⁴CH₄ measurements revealed pervasive nuclear contamination that severely compromised fossil CH₄ source apportionment. Sporadic nuclear ¹⁴CH₄ releases could not be adequately resolved with monthly/quarterly emission data from nuclear power plant operators, leading to large model-observation mismatches and physically implausible fossil CH₄ estimates. This demonstrates a fundamental limitation of ¹⁴CH₄ for quantitative source attribution in nuclear-influenced regions. The contrasting success of ¹⁴CO₂ versus ¹⁴CH₄ underscores the need for tracer-specific strategies and highlights challenges posed by expanding nuclear infrastructure globally.

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Published
2026-11-03
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-5725
Primary Topic
Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics
Type
preprint
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preprint

Nuclear contamination limits 14 CH 4 but not 14 CO 2 source attribution in a five-year Swiss atmospheric monitoring network

Dominik Brunner, Christophe Espic, Markus Leuenberger, Thomas Laemmel et al.
Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics
preprint

Nuclear contamination limits 14 CH 4 but not 14 CO 2 source attribution in a five-year Swiss atmospheric monitoring network

Dominik Brunner, Christophe Espic, Markus Leuenberger, Thomas Laemmel, Stephan Henne, Lukas Wacker, Matthias Bantle, Sönke Szidat, Heather Graven, Dylan Geissbühler, Negar Haghipour, Philip Gautschi
preprint en

Abstract

Abstract. Radiocarbon (¹⁴C) measurements of atmospheric CO₂ and CH₄ enable distinction between fossil and modern biogenic sources, providing critical constraints for emission inventories and mitigation efforts. We present multi-year, multi-site atmospheric ¹⁴CO₂ and ¹⁴CH₄ data from a monitoring network in Switzerland (2019–2023), combining fortnightly sampling at five boundary layer sites (4 rural and 1 urban) on the Swiss Plateau and the alpine background station Jungfraujoch with FLEXPART-COSMO atmospheric transport simulations based on Swiss and European emission inventories. Fossil CO2 estimates showed expected spatial patterns, with highest values at the urban site and reasonable agreement with inventory-based simulations. Nuclear Δ(14C, CO2) contamination was negligible (+0.2 ± 0.4 ‰) and recent observations of Swiss ecosystem respiration Δ(14C, CO2) signature indicated that the respiration correction was also quite small. In contrast, ¹⁴CH₄ measurements revealed pervasive nuclear contamination that severely compromised fossil CH₄ source apportionment. Sporadic nuclear ¹⁴CH₄ releases could not be adequately resolved with monthly/quarterly emission data from nuclear power plant operators, leading to large model-observation mismatches and physically implausible fossil CH₄ estimates. This demonstrates a fundamental limitation of ¹⁴CH₄ for quantitative source attribution in nuclear-influenced regions. The contrasting success of ¹⁴CO₂ versus ¹⁴CH₄ underscores the need for tracer-specific strategies and highlights challenges posed by expanding nuclear infrastructure globally.

University of Bern (CH), Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research (CH), Utrecht University (NL), ETH Zurich (CH), Imperial College London (GB), Swiss Federal Laboratories for Materials Science and Technology (CH)
Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics
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