Testing the Supply‐Side Theory of Religion in Sub‐Saharan Africa

ABSTRACT The supply‐side theory of religion predicts that religious monopolies reduce levels of popular religious participation. While developed, debated, and most frequently tested in the context of Western Christian democratic states and to a lesser extent Muslim‐majority countries, little attention has been given to its relevance to Sub‐Saharan Africa. We seek to fill this gap. Using data from the Religion and State project round 4 (RAS4) and the Afrobarometer, we present multidimensional tests of the influence of government religious support (GRS) and governmental religious discrimination (GRD) applied to a region generally recognized as one of the world's most actively religious. Our findings show that GRS in particular and GRD to a lesser extent predict lower levels of attendance at religious services in Sub‐Saharan Africa. This both confirms key aspects of the supply‐side theory and challenges critiques asserting its limited applicability beyond the West.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal for the Scientific Study of Religion
Published
2026-11-02
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/jssr.70118
Primary Topic
Religion and Society Interactions
Type
article
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article

Testing the Supply‐Side Theory of Religion in Sub‐Saharan Africa

Ariel Zellman, Jonathan Fox, Allison
Journal for the Scientific Study of Religion
Religion and Society Interactions
article

Testing the Supply‐Side Theory of Religion in Sub‐Saharan Africa

Ariel Zellman, Jonathan Fox, Allison
article en

Abstract

ABSTRACT The supply‐side theory of religion predicts that religious monopolies reduce levels of popular religious participation. While developed, debated, and most frequently tested in the context of Western Christian democratic states and to a lesser extent Muslim‐majority countries, little attention has been given to its relevance to Sub‐Saharan Africa. We seek to fill this gap. Using data from the Religion and State project round 4 (RAS4) and the Afrobarometer, we present multidimensional tests of the influence of government religious support (GRS) and governmental religious discrimination (GRD) applied to a region generally recognized as one of the world's most actively religious. Our findings show that GRS in particular and GRD to a lesser extent predict lower levels of attendance at religious services in Sub‐Saharan Africa. This both confirms key aspects of the supply‐side theory and challenges critiques asserting its limited applicability beyond the West.

Journal for the Scientific Study of Religion
Bar-Ilan University (IL)
Openalex Percentile: Top 8%
Religion and Society Interactions
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Testing the Supply‐Side Theory of Religion in Sub‐Saharan Africa — Ariel Zellman, Jonathan Fox, et al. · Journal for the Scientific Study of Religion (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS