Association of High‐Grade Components < 20% on DFS in Stage I Lung Adenocarcinoma: A Real‐World Study of Risk Analysis and Predictive Nomogram Development

OBJECTIVE: To assess whether high-grade components occupying < 20% of the tumor have prognostic value and whether an Adjusted Grade nomogram improves risk stratification in Stage I invasive lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD). METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed 1539 patients with pathologically confirmed Stage I invasive LUAD undergoing R0 resection; 1321 with follow-up, including 967 with preoperative CT. Tumors were classified by IASLC Grade and reclassified according to predominant pattern and high-grade components; Adjusted Grade 3 was subdivided into MHGC ≤ 5%, DHGC > 5% to < 20%, and SHGC ≥ 20%. Cox models identified DFS predictors. Nomograms were internally validated with 1000 bootstrap resamples and assessed for discrimination, calibration, and net benefit. RESULTS: During a median 38-month follow-up, 124 DFS events occurred. Adjusted Grade 3 independently predicted recurrence (HR 3.07, 95% CI 1.54-6.12), while MHGC and DHGC were associated with poorer DFS (HR 3.95, 95% CI 1.53-10.15; HR 2.55, 95% CI 1.12-5.80). In the CT subgroup, consolidation-to-tumor ratio (CTR) independently predicted DFS (HR 3.08, 95% CI 1.46-6.51). Optimism-corrected C-index was 0.740 for the Adjusted Grade-based nomogram, compared with 0.727 for the IASLC-based nomogram and 0.612 for TNM staging. After adding CTR, they were 0.763 and 0.745 for the Adjusted Grade- and IASLC-based nomogram. Decision-curve analysis showed similar net benefit profiles for the two nomograms. CONCLUSION: High-grade components below 20% were associated with poorer DFS. The Adjusted Grade-based nomogram improved internal discrimination versus IASLC Grade and TNM staging but showed no clear clinical-benefit advantage over IASLC Grade. External validation is needed to establish optimal thresholds and clinical utility.

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Journal
Cancer Medicine
Published
2026-11-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1002/cam4.72439
Primary Topic
Lung Cancer Diagnosis and Treatment
Type
article
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article

Association of High‐Grade Components < 20% on DFS in Stage I Lung Adenocarcinoma: A Real‐World Study of Risk Analysis and Predictive Nomogram Development

Xuanpeng Wu, Qifei Wu, Ming Ni, Tao Jiang et al.
Cancer Medicine
Lung Cancer Diagnosis and Treatment
article

Association of High‐Grade Components < 20% on DFS in Stage I Lung Adenocarcinoma: A Real‐World Study of Risk Analysis and Predictive Nomogram Development

Xuanpeng Wu, Qifei Wu, Ming Ni, Tao Jiang, Fei Xue, Leyu Hong, Chenxi Li, Shuhao Liang, Chao Luo, Tianhao Chen
article en

Abstract

OBJECTIVE: To assess whether high-grade components occupying < 20% of the tumor have prognostic value and whether an Adjusted Grade nomogram improves risk stratification in Stage I invasive lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD). METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed 1539 patients with pathologically confirmed Stage I invasive LUAD undergoing R0 resection; 1321 with follow-up, including 967 with preoperative CT. Tumors were classified by IASLC Grade and reclassified according to predominant pattern and high-grade components; Adjusted Grade 3 was subdivided into MHGC ≤ 5%, DHGC > 5% to < 20%, and SHGC ≥ 20%. Cox models identified DFS predictors. Nomograms were internally validated with 1000 bootstrap resamples and assessed for discrimination, calibration, and net benefit. RESULTS: During a median 38-month follow-up, 124 DFS events occurred. Adjusted Grade 3 independently predicted recurrence (HR 3.07, 95% CI 1.54-6.12), while MHGC and DHGC were associated with poorer DFS (HR 3.95, 95% CI 1.53-10.15; HR 2.55, 95% CI 1.12-5.80). In the CT subgroup, consolidation-to-tumor ratio (CTR) independently predicted DFS (HR 3.08, 95% CI 1.46-6.51). Optimism-corrected C-index was 0.740 for the Adjusted Grade-based nomogram, compared with 0.727 for the IASLC-based nomogram and 0.612 for TNM staging. After adding CTR, they were 0.763 and 0.745 for the Adjusted Grade- and IASLC-based nomogram. Decision-curve analysis showed similar net benefit profiles for the two nomograms. CONCLUSION: High-grade components below 20% were associated with poorer DFS. The Adjusted Grade-based nomogram improved internal discrimination versus IASLC Grade and TNM staging but showed no clear clinical-benefit advantage over IASLC Grade. External validation is needed to establish optimal thresholds and clinical utility.

Cancer MedicineVol. 15(11)
First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University (CN), Xi'an Jiaotong University (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 12%
Lung Cancer Diagnosis and Treatment
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