Future-Law Shape Beyond Two Moments

A one-dimensional truth-known discrete kernel compares Gaussian innovations with a moment-matched symmetric Gaussian mixture from one exact start state. Train-only symmetric whitening, hybrid Gaussian-kernel MMD, and directional excess kurtosis are scored on 100 seeds with 512 training and 512 test episodes. At separation 0.88 the null rejected in 6/100 units and the mixture was detected in 98/100. The same target with 256 episodes per pool was detected in 82/120. No entropy, committor, empirical, or biological claim is made.

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-11-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23864253
Primary Topic
Neural Networks and Applications
Type
preprint
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preprint

Future-Law Shape Beyond Two Moments

Robin Langell
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Neural Networks and Applications
preprint

Future-Law Shape Beyond Two Moments

Robin Langell
preprint en

Abstract

A one-dimensional truth-known discrete kernel compares Gaussian innovations with a moment-matched symmetric Gaussian mixture from one exact start state. Train-only symmetric whitening, hybrid Gaussian-kernel MMD, and directional excess kurtosis are scored on 100 seeds with 512 training and 512 test episodes. At separation 0.88 the null rejected in 6/100 units and the mixture was detected in 98/100. The same target with 256 episodes per pool was detected in 82/120. No entropy, committor, empirical, or biological claim is made.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Neural Networks and Applications
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Future-Law Shape Beyond Two Moments — Robin Langell · Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research) (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS