Energetically extreme fires drive disastrous societal impacts
Abstract Societally disastrous fires are often physically extreme. Using a global fire events dataset spanning 2002–2025, we demonstrate that 66% of disaster-linked fires rank in the top 0.5% globally for size, peak daily speed, or peak daily energy. Fire energy emerges as the dominant driver of these disasters, with the median energy of disaster-linked fires ranking in the 99.8th percentile of fires globally. In temperate conifer forests, primarily those in Western North America, the burned area from energetically extreme fires more than doubled during this period. The Global South accounted for 95% of total population exposure and 76% of powerline exposure to energetically extreme fires. These findings underscore the need for improved extreme fire prediction and mitigation efforts to protect lives, homes, and livelihoods.
Authors
- John T. Abatzoglou (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7599-9750)
- Calum X. Cunningham (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1640-2533)
- Mojtaba Sadegh (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1775-5445)
- Cong Yin (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0003-8618-9659)
- Matthew W. Jones (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3480-7980)
Institutions
- University of East Anglia (GB)
- Boise State University (US)
- University of Tasmania (AU)
- University of California, Merced (US)
- Tyndall Centre (GB)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Communications Earth & Environment
- Published
- 2026-11-02
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-026-04217-0
- Primary Topic
- Fire effects on ecosystems
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00