Monetary Policy and the Intergenerational Incidence of Green Inflation

Carbon pricing is inflationary in the short run, and central banks must decide how hard to lean against this green inflation. I embed a monetary block–a reduced-form Phillips curve, an IS-type demand relation, and a Taylor-type policy rule–into a two-sector overlapping-generations transition economy in which carbon taxation generates a hump-shaped, cost-push inflation process. I derive an augmented Taylor principle for determinacy that is generally weaker than the classical unit threshold, and show that the monetary stance reallocates the burden of green inflation across generations: a hawkish rule protects the old, whose nominal wealth would otherwise be eroded by realised inflation, but taxes the young through a larger output and wage contraction. A closed-form monetary-neutral coefficient equalises the two losses, independent of price stickiness and of the size of the cost-push shock. Because monetary policy alone cannot correct distribution without an efficiency cost, I show that pairing a stabilisation-only interest-rate rule with a lump-sum fiscal transfer replicates equity at a lower output cost, and that transitional monetary hawkishness permanently raises the long-run carbon stock through a portfolio-substitution channel.

Authors

Publication Details

Published
2026-11-02
DOI
https://doi.org/10.65957/article.20
Primary Topic
Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
article

Monetary Policy and the Intergenerational Incidence of Green Inflation

Matteo Bondesan
2 links
Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
article

Monetary Policy and the Intergenerational Incidence of Green Inflation

Matteo Bondesan
article en

Abstract

Carbon pricing is inflationary in the short run, and central banks must decide how hard to lean against this green inflation. I embed a monetary block–a reduced-form Phillips curve, an IS-type demand relation, and a Taylor-type policy rule–into a two-sector overlapping-generations transition economy in which carbon taxation generates a hump-shaped, cost-push inflation process. I derive an augmented Taylor principle for determinacy that is generally weaker than the classical unit threshold, and show that the monetary stance reallocates the burden of green inflation across generations: a hawkish rule protects the old, whose nominal wealth would otherwise be eroded by realised inflation, but taxes the young through a larger output and wage contraction. A closed-form monetary-neutral coefficient equalises the two losses, independent of price stickiness and of the size of the cost-push shock. Because monetary policy alone cannot correct distribution without an efficiency cost, I show that pairing a stabilisation-only interest-rate rule with a lump-sum fiscal transfer replicates equity at a lower output cost, and that transitional monetary hawkishness permanently raises the long-run carbon stock through a portfolio-substitution channel.

Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 9%
Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.

Laika access coming soon