Bi-Mamba-Load: A bidirectional structured state space model with sequence relationship adaptive perception for electricity load forecasting

The accurate prediction of electricity load is a critical component for smart-grid management, energy allocation, and grid stability. Traditional statistical methods and Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) often struggle with nonlinear relationships or long-range temporal dependencies, whereas Transformer architectures incur quadratic complexity in the sequence length. The Structured State Space Model Mamba provides linear sequence modeling but uses a unidirectional scan and a fixed treatment of multivariate dependencies. To address these limitations, we propose Bi-Mamba-Load, which combines a bidirectional Mamba encoder, a custom forget gate, and a Sequence Relationship Adaptive Perception (SRAP) module. Both encoder branches operate exclusively on the observed historical window, so no observations from the forecasting horizon are used as inputs. SRAP computes Spearman correlation statistics from the training split and performs dataset-level selection between channel-independent and channel-mixing tokenization; the selected route remains fixed for all samples in that dataset. Experiments across eight benchmark datasets indicate competitive or superior forecasting accuracy against the evaluated baselines while retaining linear scaling with the input length, subject to the constant-factor overhead of bidirectional scanning.

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Publication Details

Journal
PLoS ONE
Published
2026-11-02
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0355805
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Bi-Mamba-Load: A bidirectional structured state space model with sequence relationship adaptive perception for electricity load forecasting

Baoqiang Zhong, Chongyang Liao, Jianxu Zhong, Lingzhi Xi et al.
2 links
PLoS ONE
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
article

Bi-Mamba-Load: A bidirectional structured state space model with sequence relationship adaptive perception for electricity load forecasting

Baoqiang Zhong, Chongyang Liao, Jianxu Zhong, Lingzhi Xi, Junwei Zhu, Lei Zhang
article en

Abstract

The accurate prediction of electricity load is a critical component for smart-grid management, energy allocation, and grid stability. Traditional statistical methods and Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) often struggle with nonlinear relationships or long-range temporal dependencies, whereas Transformer architectures incur quadratic complexity in the sequence length. The Structured State Space Model Mamba provides linear sequence modeling but uses a unidirectional scan and a fixed treatment of multivariate dependencies. To address these limitations, we propose Bi-Mamba-Load, which combines a bidirectional Mamba encoder, a custom forget gate, and a Sequence Relationship Adaptive Perception (SRAP) module. Both encoder branches operate exclusively on the observed historical window, so no observations from the forecasting horizon are used as inputs. SRAP computes Spearman correlation statistics from the training split and performs dataset-level selection between channel-independent and channel-mixing tokenization; the selected route remains fixed for all samples in that dataset. Experiments across eight benchmark datasets indicate competitive or superior forecasting accuracy against the evaluated baselines while retaining linear scaling with the input length, subject to the constant-factor overhead of bidirectional scanning.

PLoS ONEVol. 21(11)
China Southern Power Grid (China) (CN)
National Natural Science Foundation of China
Affordable and clean energy, Industry, innovation and infrastructure
Openalex Percentile: Top 26%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
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Bi-Mamba-Load: A bidirectional structured state space model with sequence relationship adaptive perception for electricity load forecasting — Baoqiang Zhong, Chongyang Liao, et al. · PLoS ONE (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS