Martingales in Practice, Part I: When Is a Process Really a Martingale?

Martingales sit at the centre of derivative pricing, stochastic modelling, measure changes and quantitative model validation, yet they are often recognized through incomplete shortcuts. This first article in a three-part series develops a practical three-route framework: direct conditional expectation, inspection of the finite-variation term in an Ito decomposition, and the square-integrable Brownian stochastic-integral theorem. It separates true martingales from local martingales and applies the framework to Brownian motion, squared Brownian motion and compensated squared Brownian motion. The examples show why a flat simulated mean does not establish a martingale and why zero Ito drift initially yields only a local-martingale conclusion. The central message is practical: the probability measure, filtration and integrability argument must be made explicit before a martingale claim is used in pricing or model validation.

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Wilmott
Published
2026-10-31
DOI
https://doi.org/10.54946/wilm.12277
Primary Topic
Stochastic processes and financial applications
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Martingales in Practice, Part I: When Is a Process Really a Martingale?

Xuan Feng
Wilmott
Stochastic processes and financial applications
article

Martingales in Practice, Part I: When Is a Process Really a Martingale?

Xuan Feng
article en

Abstract

Martingales sit at the centre of derivative pricing, stochastic modelling, measure changes and quantitative model validation, yet they are often recognized through incomplete shortcuts. This first article in a three-part series develops a practical three-route framework: direct conditional expectation, inspection of the finite-variation term in an Ito decomposition, and the square-integrable Brownian stochastic-integral theorem. It separates true martingales from local martingales and applies the framework to Brownian motion, squared Brownian motion and compensated squared Brownian motion. The examples show why a flat simulated mean does not establish a martingale and why zero Ito drift initially yields only a local-martingale conclusion. The central message is practical: the probability measure, filtration and integrability argument must be made explicit before a martingale claim is used in pricing or model validation.

WilmottVol. 2026(146)
Openalex Percentile: Top 8%
Stochastic processes and financial applications
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