Influenza B Circulation and Vaccine Effectiveness Against Medically Attended Outpatient Influenza B Illness, United States, 2016–17 Through 2024–25
Abstract Background Influenza B vaccine effectiveness (VE) has varied by season, lineage, antigenic drift, and vaccine composition. After B/Yamagata detection ceased globally, trivalent vaccines containing B/Victoria were reintroduced in 2024–25. We evaluated influenza B circulation and VE across eight analyzed seasons spanning this transition. Methods Ambulatory patients aged ≥6 months with acute respiratory illness were enrolled at U.S. Flu VE Network sites during eight influenza seasons from 2016–17 through 2024–25; 2020–21 was excluded because influenza circulation was negligible. Participants were tested by RT-PCR. Lineage-specific VE was estimated using a test-negative design and logistic regression adjusted for age, sex, race/ethnicity, calendar time, and study site. VE was reported for season-lineage strata with ≥50 influenza B cases. Results Among 65,773 participants, 3,629 influenza B cases were included in lineage-specific VE analyses (1,507 B/Yamagata; 2,122 B/Victoria). Six of 10 season-lineage strata met the reporting threshold. B/Victoria VE was 58% (95% CI, 28%–77%) in 2016–17, 51% (43%–57%) in 2019–20, 78% (71%–84%) in 2023–24, and 39% (14%–56%) in 2024–25. B/Yamagata VE was 55% (46%–63%) in 2016–17 and 49% (40%–56%) in 2017–18. Conclusions Influenza vaccines protected against medically attended outpatient influenza B illness, although VE varied by season. Continued VE monitoring and genetic surveillance are needed to detect emerging influenza B viruses and inform vaccine strain selection.
Authors
- Elie Antoun Saade (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2514-3820)
- Spencer Rose (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0001-5211-4144)
- Marcus Volz (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7358-5204)
- Emmanuel B. Walter (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6502-6736)
- Muralidhar Jatla
- Keith Stone
- Emily Toth Martin (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5771-8895)
- Brendan L. Flannery (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5041-308X)
- Vel Murugan (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7368-7742)
- Manohar B. Mutnal (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0452-7382)
- C. Hallie Phillips (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0001-7405-4744)
- Richard Kent Zimmerman (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5941-6092)
- Jessica Meeker (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0934-2483)
- Chandni Raiyani (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5448-9548)
- Stacey L. House (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1161-4529)
- Kayan Dunnigan (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1953-3291)
- Jason A. Ettlinger (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0007-2600-4017)
- Nicole Calhoun
- Ivana A. Vaughn (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7201-0289)
- Amanda McKillop
- Sascha Ellington (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5584-5006)
- Karen J. Wernli (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7945-0327)
- Kiran A. Faryar (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8466-9796)
- Lora Nordstrom (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0007-8870-7228)
- Jessie R. Chung (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5205-966X)
- Leah Odame‐Bamfo (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5781-6735)
- Arundhati Rao (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2623-1435)
- Tresa McNeal (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1436-2091)
- Huong Q. Nguyen (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2725-6439)
- Eric Hoffman
- Manjusha Gaglani (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3952-9230)
- Jennifer P. King (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4627-1378)
- Natalie A.B. Bontrager (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0983-2981)
- A. Jackson (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1480-2843)
- Madhava Beeram
- Jason D. Ramm
- Elisa Priest
- US Flu VE Network Investigators
- Jamie Mills
- Jennifer Thomas
- Javed Butler
- Jesus Vallejo
- Britain Fairall
- Courtney Shaver
- Krissy Moehling Geffel
- Dedra Preece
- Monica Bennett
Institutions
- Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (US)
- Kaiser Permanente Washington Health Research Institute (US)
- Henry Ford Health System (US)
- University of Pittsburgh (US)
- Duke University (US)
- Baylor College of Medicine (US)
- Washington University in St. Louis (US)
- University of Michigan (US)
- University Hospitals of Cleveland (US)
- Baylor Scott & White Medical Center - Temple (US)
- Pittsburgh Public Schools (US)
- Valleywise Health (US)
- Baylor Scott & White Health (US)
- Marshfield Clinic Research Foundation (US)
- Marshfield Clinic Research Institute (US)
- Arizona State University (US)
Publication Details
- Journal
- The Journal of Infectious Diseases
- Published
- 2026-10-30
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1093/infdis/jiag538
- Primary Topic
- Influenza Virus Research Studies
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00