Secure forecasting-driven scheduling of hydrogen-integrated renewable power systems under cyberattacks

Accurate demand and renewable-generation forecasts are essential for reliable operation of hydrogen-integrated power systems, where electrolyzers, liquid organic hydrogen carrier logistics, storage, and PEM fuel cells provide flexibility for renewable utilization. This paper develops a cyber-resilient forecasting-driven scheduling framework for coordinated power–hydrogen systems. Forecasting quality is first assessed using actual measurements, high-quality forecasts, and medium-quality forecasts; medium-quality forecasts increase total-cost deviations by up to 22.08%. A two-stage detection–recovery framework then protects demand, photovoltaic, and wind forecasting signals against denial-of-service and ramp-type false data injection attacks. Dedicated Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) models detect corrupted inputs and reconstruct compromised measurements before coordinated scheduling. Demand-targeted attacks are the most disruptive, while wind- and PV-targeted attacks increase operating costs by up to 29.55% and 12.76%, respectively. After detection–recovery, operating-cost deviations fall below 6%. The framework improves hydrogen-enabled flexibility, renewable utilization, and operational resilience under cyber-compromised forecasting conditions.

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Publication Details

Journal
International Journal of Hydrogen Energy
Published
2026-11-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijhydene.2026.158215
Primary Topic
Smart Grid Security and Resilience
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Secure forecasting-driven scheduling of hydrogen-integrated renewable power systems under cyberattacks

Mohamed Tagelsir Barakat Elsir, Ameena Saad Al‐Sumaiti, Ali Elkamel, Ahmed Abughali
1 links
International Journal of Hydrogen Energy
Smart Grid Security and Resilience
article

Secure forecasting-driven scheduling of hydrogen-integrated renewable power systems under cyberattacks

Mohamed Tagelsir Barakat Elsir, Ameena Saad Al‐Sumaiti, Ali Elkamel, Ahmed Abughali
article en

Abstract

Accurate demand and renewable-generation forecasts are essential for reliable operation of hydrogen-integrated power systems, where electrolyzers, liquid organic hydrogen carrier logistics, storage, and PEM fuel cells provide flexibility for renewable utilization. This paper develops a cyber-resilient forecasting-driven scheduling framework for coordinated power–hydrogen systems. Forecasting quality is first assessed using actual measurements, high-quality forecasts, and medium-quality forecasts; medium-quality forecasts increase total-cost deviations by up to 22.08%. A two-stage detection–recovery framework then protects demand, photovoltaic, and wind forecasting signals against denial-of-service and ramp-type false data injection attacks. Dedicated Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) models detect corrupted inputs and reconstruct compromised measurements before coordinated scheduling. Demand-targeted attacks are the most disruptive, while wind- and PV-targeted attacks increase operating costs by up to 29.55% and 12.76%, respectively. After detection–recovery, operating-cost deviations fall below 6%. The framework improves hydrogen-enabled flexibility, renewable utilization, and operational resilience under cyber-compromised forecasting conditions.

International Journal of Hydrogen EnergyVol. 289
University of Waterloo (CA), Khalifa University of Science and Technology (AE)
Khalifa University of Science, Technology and Research
Affordable and clean energy, Industry, innovation and infrastructure, Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 18%
Smart Grid Security and Resilience
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Secure forecasting-driven scheduling of hydrogen-integrated renewable power systems under cyberattacks — Mohamed Tagelsir Barakat Elsir, Ameena Saad Al‐Sumaiti, et al. · International Journal of Hydrogen Energy (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS