LAB #4920 NEUTRAL: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Min confirmations >= 7 — improves win rate from 31.9% to 48.1% (+16.3pp, — E8 Intelligence Research

IDEA: Adjustment made to the live model — verify against the backtests: Apply filter: Min confirmations >= 7 — improves win rate from 31.9% to 48.1% (+16.3pp, n=27) SAME-WINDOW EFFECT: The filter would have removed the three closed losses (EURUSD, XAUUSD, AUDUSD) only if their confirmation counts were below 7 — but the window gives no confirmation counts, so this is unverifiable from the data provided. The two closed wins (USDCHF, USDCAD) would also be at risk of removal if they carried fewer than 7 confirmations, and the five REJECTED/open trades are unaffected either way. Net effect on this window is indeterminate: the claimed +16.3pp comes from a different sample, not this one. OVER-TIME PROJECTION: If the 48.1% figure holds out-of-sample, it is a meaningful edge over the 31.9% baseline, but n=27 is far too small to trust — a 16pp swing on 27 trades is roughly 4-5 trades of noise. The bigger risk is selection bias: the threshold "7" was likely chosen after seeing which value maxim Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com