The Digital Euro and Deposit-Market Competition: Portfolio Choice, Bank Switching, and Funding Adjustment

A non-remunerated central bank digital currency can change deposit competition even when households retain their bank accounts. I study a capped public-money option in a differentiated-bank model in which households choose both a bank and the division of liquid wealth between deposits and digital currency. Residual deposit demand responds through portfolio adjustment and bank switching; the latter depends on the second moment of deposit balances. This decomposition gives a conditional, rather than uniformly positive, deposit-rate response. With homogeneous customers and binding caps, a higher cap reduces the value of switching banks and lowers the equilibrium rate. I prove this result globally, show that it survives random-utility bank choice, and establish conditions under which wealth heterogeneity reverses it. A separate lending and wholesale-funding extension introduces an opposing scarcity effect and solves the joint deposit-pricing and lending response. Deposit markdowns, monetary-policy pass-through and household surplus need not move together. Piecewise-polynomial calculations verify all unilateral rate deviations in the numerical examples. Recent European and Indian evidence motivates the mechanisms without being treated as a calibration. The digital euro's institutional setting is assessed through 18 September 2026, with legislative proposals, pilot activity and actual issuance kept distinct.

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Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-10-31
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23837542
Primary Topic
Banking stability, regulation, efficiency
Type
article
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article

The Digital Euro and Deposit-Market Competition: Portfolio Choice, Bank Switching, and Funding Adjustment

Leonardo Ruzzante
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Banking stability, regulation, efficiency
article

The Digital Euro and Deposit-Market Competition: Portfolio Choice, Bank Switching, and Funding Adjustment

Leonardo Ruzzante
article en

Abstract

A non-remunerated central bank digital currency can change deposit competition even when households retain their bank accounts. I study a capped public-money option in a differentiated-bank model in which households choose both a bank and the division of liquid wealth between deposits and digital currency. Residual deposit demand responds through portfolio adjustment and bank switching; the latter depends on the second moment of deposit balances. This decomposition gives a conditional, rather than uniformly positive, deposit-rate response. With homogeneous customers and binding caps, a higher cap reduces the value of switching banks and lowers the equilibrium rate. I prove this result globally, show that it survives random-utility bank choice, and establish conditions under which wealth heterogeneity reverses it. A separate lending and wholesale-funding extension introduces an opposing scarcity effect and solves the joint deposit-pricing and lending response. Deposit markdowns, monetary-policy pass-through and household surplus need not move together. Piecewise-polynomial calculations verify all unilateral rate deviations in the numerical examples. Recent European and Indian evidence motivates the mechanisms without being treated as a calibration. The digital euro's institutional setting is assessed through 18 September 2026, with legislative proposals, pilot activity and actual issuance kept distinct.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Bocconi University (IT)
Openalex Percentile: Top 9%
Banking stability, regulation, efficiency
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