LAB #4882 NEUTRAL: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Quarterly phase = MANIPULATION — improves win rate from 31.9% to 32.7% ( — E8 Intelligence Research

IDEA: Adjustment made to the live model — verify against the backtests: Apply filter: Quarterly phase = MANIPULATION — improves win rate from 31.9% to 32.7% (+0.9pp, n=1567) SAME-WINDOW EFFECT: The filter keys on quarterly phase = MANIPULATION, and the live window you've shown (Sep 3–11) sits in Q3, so the filter would have been active for all 10 listed trades. Applying it would have suppressed some subset of the 3 CLOSED/LOSS shorts (EURUSD, XAUUSD, AUDUSD) and the 4 REJECTED/open entries, while likely leaving the two CLOSED/WIN trades (USDCHF, USDCAD) untouched — net effect is fewer trades, not better trades. With only 2 wins and 3 losses closed in this window, a +0.9pp edge is statistically invisible here; the realistic delta is "fewer losses avoided, fewer opportunities taken," i.e., roughly flat to slightly positive PnL but with a much smaller sample. The GTX 30-day backdrop (149 TP2 vs 293 LOSS, 16 BE) shows the base system is already bleeding, so a 0.9pp filter is a rounding er Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com