A climate policy referendum decreases pluralistic ignorance on climate change concern

Pluralistic ignorance about others’ climate change concern can contribute to inaction on climate change. We conducted a two-wave panel study (Npre = 1,578, Npost = 827) with a general sample before and after the national Swiss referendum on the Climate Protection Law, which was accepted. We find that people underestimate others’ concern about climate change and others’ support of scientists’ policy advocacy. Pluralistic ignorance of climate change concern slightly decreased after the referendum, while pluralistic ignorance of scientists’ advocacy remained unchanged. Results thus show that national voting on climate policy creates a window of opportunity that can be harnessed to reduce pluralistic ignorance.

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Publication Details

Published
2026-10-30
DOI
https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/3zptv_v1
Primary Topic
Climate Change Communication and Perception
Type
preprint
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preprint

A climate policy referendum decreases pluralistic ignorance on climate change concern

Eri Bertsou, Lauren Christine Howe, Niels G. Mede, Jamie L. Peterson Gloor et al.
Climate Change Communication and Perception
preprint

A climate policy referendum decreases pluralistic ignorance on climate change concern

Eri Bertsou, Lauren Christine Howe, Niels G. Mede, Jamie L. Peterson Gloor, Viktoria Cologna, Mike Steffen Schäfer, Jana Freundt, Наоми Орескес, Eugenia Bajet Mestre, Reto Knutti
preprint en

Abstract

Pluralistic ignorance about others’ climate change concern can contribute to inaction on climate change. We conducted a two-wave panel study (Npre = 1,578, Npost = 827) with a general sample before and after the national Swiss referendum on the Climate Protection Law, which was accepted. We find that people underestimate others’ concern about climate change and others’ support of scientists’ policy advocacy. Pluralistic ignorance of climate change concern slightly decreased after the referendum, while pluralistic ignorance of scientists’ advocacy remained unchanged. Results thus show that national voting on climate policy creates a window of opportunity that can be harnessed to reduce pluralistic ignorance.

Harvard University (US)
Climate action, Peace, justice, and strong institutions
Climate Change Communication and Perception
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