AN EMPIRICAL STUDY ON THE IMPACT OF MACROECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS ON GOLD PRICES (XAU/USD) IN THE FOREX MARKET AND HOW IT AFFECTS TO THE INVESTORS

This paper investigates the impact of macroeconomic announcements on gold prices (XAU/USD) in the forex market and the corresponding behavioral responses of retail investors, with particular focus on the Indian market. Using a mixed-methods approach combining a primary survey of 100 respondents with secondary data analysis, the study finds that interest rate decisions by the U.S. Federal Reserve and inflation data (CPI) are the most influential drivers of gold price volatility. Correlation analysis yielded r = 0.76, confirming a strong positive relationship between macroeconomic news and gold price movements. Both hypotheses of the study are accepted: macroeconomic announcements significantly affect gold price volatility, and investor awareness of such announcements significantly influences trading behavior. The study also reveals that 40% of retail traders rely primarily on social media for financial information, underscoring the need for structured financial literacy programs. The findings contribute to bridging macroeconomic theory with behavioral finance in the context of Indian forex gold trading.

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Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-10-30
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23809645
Primary Topic
Market Dynamics and Volatility
Type
article
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article

AN EMPIRICAL STUDY ON THE IMPACT OF MACROECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS ON GOLD PRICES (XAU/USD) IN THE FOREX MARKET AND HOW IT AFFECTS TO THE INVESTORS

Aditya Koli
2 links
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Market Dynamics and Volatility
article

AN EMPIRICAL STUDY ON THE IMPACT OF MACROECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS ON GOLD PRICES (XAU/USD) IN THE FOREX MARKET AND HOW IT AFFECTS TO THE INVESTORS

Aditya Koli
article en

Abstract

This paper investigates the impact of macroeconomic announcements on gold prices (XAU/USD) in the forex market and the corresponding behavioral responses of retail investors, with particular focus on the Indian market. Using a mixed-methods approach combining a primary survey of 100 respondents with secondary data analysis, the study finds that interest rate decisions by the U.S. Federal Reserve and inflation data (CPI) are the most influential drivers of gold price volatility. Correlation analysis yielded r = 0.76, confirming a strong positive relationship between macroeconomic news and gold price movements. Both hypotheses of the study are accepted: macroeconomic announcements significantly affect gold price volatility, and investor awareness of such announcements significantly influences trading behavior. The study also reveals that 40% of retail traders rely primarily on social media for financial information, underscoring the need for structured financial literacy programs. The findings contribute to bridging macroeconomic theory with behavioral finance in the context of Indian forex gold trading.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Openalex Percentile: Top 8%
Market Dynamics and Volatility
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AN EMPIRICAL STUDY ON THE IMPACT OF MACROECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS ON GOLD PRICES (XAU/USD) IN THE FOREX MARKET AND HOW IT AFFECTS TO THE INVESTORS — Aditya Koli · Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research) (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS