A data-driven model framework for predicting operational and load responses of the IEA 3.4 MW wind turbine

Abstract. This paper presents a transparent and reproducible machine-learning framework for developing surrogate models that predict operational variables and structural loads of the IEA 3.4 MW wind turbine. The framework is based on a comprehensive dataset of aeroelastic simulations generated across multiple operational modes and wind conditions using HAWC2. Several surrogate modeling approaches are investigated, including Artificial Neural Networks, Gaussian Process Regression and Random Forests. The models are trained and evaluated using multiple feature engineering strategies and data scaling approaches to assess their predictive performance and robustness across different response variables. The primary objective of this work is not to identify a single optimal surrogate model, but to provide a transparent, accessible, and reproducible workflow for surrogate model development for optimization-friendly structural loads and operational response estimation. The article documents the complete process of dataset generation, feature engineering, model training, and performance evaluation, enabling consistent comparison of machine-learning approaches and facilitating future methodological developments. By providing both the simulation dataset and the associated surrogate-modeling workflow, this work aims to support the development, benchmarking, and adoption of scientific machine-learning-based surrogate models within the wind energy research community.

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Publication Details

Journal
Wind Energy Science Discussions
Published
2026-10-30
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-2026-158
Primary Topic
Wind Energy Research and Development
Type
preprint

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preprint

A data-driven model framework for predicting operational and load responses of the IEA 3.4 MW wind turbine

Ion Lizarraga-Saenz, Nikolay Dimitrov, Tuhfe Göçmen, Carlo L. Bottasso et al.
1 links
Wind Energy Science Discussions
Wind Energy Research and Development
preprint

A data-driven model framework for predicting operational and load responses of the IEA 3.4 MW wind turbine

Ion Lizarraga-Saenz, Nikolay Dimitrov, Tuhfe Göçmen, Carlo L. Bottasso, Adrien Guilloré, Vasilis Pettas, Maria Aparicio‐Sanchez, Irene Eguinoa, Andreas Vad, Anik H. Shah, Iasonas Tsaklis, David Astrain-Juangarcia, Abhinav Anand, Nicolau Conti Gost
preprint en

Abstract

Abstract. This paper presents a transparent and reproducible machine-learning framework for developing surrogate models that predict operational variables and structural loads of the IEA 3.4 MW wind turbine. The framework is based on a comprehensive dataset of aeroelastic simulations generated across multiple operational modes and wind conditions using HAWC2. Several surrogate modeling approaches are investigated, including Artificial Neural Networks, Gaussian Process Regression and Random Forests. The models are trained and evaluated using multiple feature engineering strategies and data scaling approaches to assess their predictive performance and robustness across different response variables. The primary objective of this work is not to identify a single optimal surrogate model, but to provide a transparent, accessible, and reproducible workflow for surrogate model development for optimization-friendly structural loads and operational response estimation. The article documents the complete process of dataset generation, feature engineering, model training, and performance evaluation, enabling consistent comparison of machine-learning approaches and facilitating future methodological developments. By providing both the simulation dataset and the associated surrogate-modeling workflow, this work aims to support the development, benchmarking, and adoption of scientific machine-learning-based surrogate models within the wind energy research community.

Wind Energy Science Discussions
Nordex (Germany) (DE), National Renewable Energy Centre (ES), Technical University of Munich (DE), Technical University of Denmark (DK)
European Commission, HORIZON EUROPE Framework Programme
Affordable and clean energy, Industry, innovation and infrastructure
Wind Energy Research and Development
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