Do Experimental Asset Market Results Replicate? High‐Powered Preregistered Replications of 17 Key Results

ABSTRACT Experimental asset markets provide a controlled approach to studying financial markets. We attempt to replicate 17 key results from four prominent studies, collecting new data from 166 markets with 1,544 participants. Only three of the 14 original results reported as statistically significant were successfully replicated. We fail to replicate findings on emotions, self‐control, and gender differences in bubble formation but confirm that experience reduces bubbles and cognitive skills explain trading success. Our study demonstrates the importance of replications in enhancing the credibility of scientific results in this field.

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
The Journal of Finance
Published
2026-10-29
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/jofi.70100
Primary Topic
Experimental Behavioral Economics Studies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Do Experimental Asset Market Results Replicate? High‐Powered Preregistered Replications of 17 Key Results

Christian König-Kersting, Felix Holzmeister, MICHAEL KIRCHLER, JÜRGEN HUBER et al.
The Journal of Finance
Experimental Behavioral Economics Studies
article

Do Experimental Asset Market Results Replicate? High‐Powered Preregistered Replications of 17 Key Results

Christian König-Kersting, Felix Holzmeister, MICHAEL KIRCHLER, JÜRGEN HUBER, ANNA DREBER, CHRISTOPH HUBER, MAGNUS JOHANNESSON
article en

Abstract

ABSTRACT Experimental asset markets provide a controlled approach to studying financial markets. We attempt to replicate 17 key results from four prominent studies, collecting new data from 166 markets with 1,544 participants. Only three of the 14 original results reported as statistically significant were successfully replicated. We fail to replicate findings on emotions, self‐control, and gender differences in bubble formation but confirm that experience reduces bubbles and cognitive skills explain trading success. Our study demonstrates the importance of replications in enhancing the credibility of scientific results in this field.

The Journal of Finance
Openalex Percentile: Top 8%
Experimental Behavioral Economics Studies
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