China’s Nationwide CO 2 Emissions Trading System: A General Equilibrium Assessment
China’s CO 2 emissions trading system, the world’s largest, aims to significantly reduce CO 2 emissions. The system is a tradable performance standard (TPS), differing from cap and trade (C&T). We provide a dynamic general equilibrium assessment that uniquely considers institutional and fiscal features of China that affect policy costs and distributional impacts. Key findings: The TPS’s environmental benefits exceed its costs by a factor of five or more. Interactions with the fiscal system reduce or eliminate the TPS’s cost disadvantage relative to C&T. Introducing auctioning as a complementary source of allowance supply can reduce costs by 30 percent. (JEL D58, O13, P28, Q54, Q58)
Authors
- Chenfei Qu
- Lawrence H. Goulder
- Xianling Long
- Da Zhang
Institutions
- National Bureau of Economic Research (US)
- Peking University (CN)
- Resources For The Future (US)
- Stanford University (US)
- Tsinghua University (CN)
Publication Details
- Journal
- American Economic Journal Economic Policy
- Published
- 2026-10-29
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1257/pol.20240652
- Primary Topic
- Climate Change Policy and Economics
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00