A weather integrated neural symbolic dispatch framework for power system operational security

Abstract Modern power systems face unprecedented challenges from rapid digitalization, electrification of new sectors, and increasing renewable integration. These changes demand real-time operational decisions based on accurate weather forecasting, as traditional dispatch methods cannot handle the speed and complexity of weather-driven variability in renewable generation. This paper thus proposes the Weather-Integrated Neural-Symbolic Dispatch System (WINDS), a novel methodological framework designed to incorporate weather-driven uncertainties into power system dispatch decisions. The WINDS framework combines weather forecasting and neuro-symbolic reasoning, where neural learning methods address weather-related uncertainties and symbolic methods enforce system security constraints, to provide operators with actionable dispatch strategies. Through a detailed set of study cases comprising normal operations, extreme weather events, missing data conditions, and multi-scenario risk analysis, evaluated on both a controlled experiment and measured wind and load data from the Danish DK1 bidding zone, WINDS reduces operational cost by 11.4% to 26.7% compared to static climatology-based dispatch depending on weather volatility, while reducing constraint-violation volume by more than 80% relative to forecast-only dispatch and substantially limiting violations during a measured extreme ramp-down event through adaptive uncertainty margins, with a novel L consistency metric quantifying the alignment between neural predictions and symbolic constraints. WINDS utilizes the strengths of both data-driven and symbolic approaches, enhancing system security and reliability, especially in renewables-rich regions sensitive to weather variability. This work presents a clearly defined methodological framework, and the results provide a proof-of-concept, paving the way for real-world implementation and operational enhancement in weather-sensitive power systems.

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Publication Details

Journal
Scientific Reports
Published
2026-10-29
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-73702-5
Primary Topic
Electric Power System Optimization
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

A weather integrated neural symbolic dispatch framework for power system operational security

Swaechchha Dahal, Gunne John Hegglid, Bhupendra Bimal Chhetri, Thomas Øyvang et al.
1 links
Scientific Reports
Electric Power System Optimization
article

A weather integrated neural symbolic dispatch framework for power system operational security

Swaechchha Dahal, Gunne John Hegglid, Bhupendra Bimal Chhetri, Thomas Øyvang, Shailendra Kumar Jha, Sambeet Mishra
article en

Abstract

Abstract Modern power systems face unprecedented challenges from rapid digitalization, electrification of new sectors, and increasing renewable integration. These changes demand real-time operational decisions based on accurate weather forecasting, as traditional dispatch methods cannot handle the speed and complexity of weather-driven variability in renewable generation. This paper thus proposes the Weather-Integrated Neural-Symbolic Dispatch System (WINDS), a novel methodological framework designed to incorporate weather-driven uncertainties into power system dispatch decisions. The WINDS framework combines weather forecasting and neuro-symbolic reasoning, where neural learning methods address weather-related uncertainties and symbolic methods enforce system security constraints, to provide operators with actionable dispatch strategies. Through a detailed set of study cases comprising normal operations, extreme weather events, missing data conditions, and multi-scenario risk analysis, evaluated on both a controlled experiment and measured wind and load data from the Danish DK1 bidding zone, WINDS reduces operational cost by 11.4% to 26.7% compared to static climatology-based dispatch depending on weather volatility, while reducing constraint-violation volume by more than 80% relative to forecast-only dispatch and substantially limiting violations during a measured extreme ramp-down event through adaptive uncertainty margins, with a novel L consistency metric quantifying the alignment between neural predictions and symbolic constraints. WINDS utilizes the strengths of both data-driven and symbolic approaches, enhancing system security and reliability, especially in renewables-rich regions sensitive to weather variability. This work presents a clearly defined methodological framework, and the results provide a proof-of-concept, paving the way for real-world implementation and operational enhancement in weather-sensitive power systems.

Scientific Reports
University of South-Eastern Norway (NO), Kathmandu University (NP)
Affordable and clean energy, Industry, innovation and infrastructure, Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 24%
Electric Power System Optimization
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