Multi-Objective Identification and Optimal Control for Generalized SIR Epidemic Models with Time-Dependent Parameters

This paper investigates a multi-objective optimization framework for the simultaneous parameter identification and optimal vaccination control of a generalized non-linear SIR epidemic model. In contrast to traditional single-objective approaches, we formulate a vector optimization problem to concurrently minimize deviations from observed trajectories, disease prevalence, and public health operational costs, unlocking the identification of Pareto-optimal strategies. We establish the global existence, uniqueness, and physical invariance of the state solutions within a classical Sobolev space framework by employing a contraction mapping argument under the Bielecki weighted norm. Via the direct method of the calculus of variations and compact Sobolev embeddings, the existence of weak Pareto-optimal solutions is rigorously proved. First-order necessary optimality conditions are subsequently derived using the geometric Dubovitskii–Milyutin functional formalism, which yields a well-posed backward linear adjoint system and a precise characterization of the coupled variational inequalities. Finally, we implement a robust numerical architecture driven by an adjoint-based Augmented Lagrangian Method coupled with a quasi-Newton solver over a piecewise linear continuous subspace for the approximation and simulation of the Pareto-optimal frontier, which is successfully validated through three distinct numerical examples.

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Publication Details

Journal
Mathematics
Published
2026-10-28
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/math14213939
Primary Topic
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
Type
article
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article

Multi-Objective Identification and Optimal Control for Generalized SIR Epidemic Models with Time-Dependent Parameters

Ana Paula Chorobura, Aníbal Coronel, Camila Isoton, Fernando Huancas
Mathematics
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
article

Multi-Objective Identification and Optimal Control for Generalized SIR Epidemic Models with Time-Dependent Parameters

Ana Paula Chorobura, Aníbal Coronel, Camila Isoton, Fernando Huancas
article en

Abstract

This paper investigates a multi-objective optimization framework for the simultaneous parameter identification and optimal vaccination control of a generalized non-linear SIR epidemic model. In contrast to traditional single-objective approaches, we formulate a vector optimization problem to concurrently minimize deviations from observed trajectories, disease prevalence, and public health operational costs, unlocking the identification of Pareto-optimal strategies. We establish the global existence, uniqueness, and physical invariance of the state solutions within a classical Sobolev space framework by employing a contraction mapping argument under the Bielecki weighted norm. Via the direct method of the calculus of variations and compact Sobolev embeddings, the existence of weak Pareto-optimal solutions is rigorously proved. First-order necessary optimality conditions are subsequently derived using the geometric Dubovitskii–Milyutin functional formalism, which yields a well-posed backward linear adjoint system and a precise characterization of the coupled variational inequalities. Finally, we implement a robust numerical architecture driven by an adjoint-based Augmented Lagrangian Method coupled with a quasi-Newton solver over a piecewise linear continuous subspace for the approximation and simulation of the Pareto-optimal frontier, which is successfully validated through three distinct numerical examples.

MathematicsVol. 14(21)
Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso do Sul (BR), Universidade Federal da Grande Dourados (BR), Metropolitan University of Technology (CL)
Openalex Percentile: Top 10%
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
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Multi-Objective Identification and Optimal Control for Generalized SIR Epidemic Models with Time-Dependent Parameters — Ana Paula Chorobura, Aníbal Coronel, et al. · Mathematics (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS