The DESI Fork, Scored — Every Sealed Branch Has w_a >= 0 — and DESI DR2 Measures w_a < 0

This program carried an unresolved internal fork on dark-energy dynamics: an integration-constant theorem predicting w(z) = -1 at every redshift (Branch T, the CPL point (-1, 0)), against two laws of its Link-3 joint attack registered in the thawing quadrant (Branch C, Law C event-horizon tracking, recomputed from its own equations as (w0, wa) = (-0.885098, +0.230753), with its full w(z) track made explicit for the first time, w rising from -0.885098 at z = 0 to -0.548591 at z = 3; Branch D, Law D asymptotic approach, scored at its three tabulated points (-0.969346, +0.05), (-0.881765, +0.15), (-0.724118, +0.40) under a minimum-over-points rule). All branches were sealed in a pre-registration before any DESI DR2 number was fetched in this work, and the extraction and scoring were reproduced byte-identically on an independent route. Scored against the published DESI DR2 posteriors (DESI Collaboration, arXiv:2503.14738), every sealed branch has wa >= 0 and every DR2 combination measures wa < 0: the branches' marginalized wa distances run from z = +3.02 to +5.86 across DESI+CMB, +PantheonPlus, +Union3, and +DESY5, so every branch, the theorem point included, is excluded at >= 3 sigma on the wa axis alone in every combination. Two-axis uncorrelated equivalents are reported only as labeled approximations, not as the DESI paper's Delta-chi2 (the paper publishes no (w0, wa) correlation in its text and its chains were not retrievable; the true-Delta-chi2 upgrade remains owed). The fork is NOT reconciled: the theorem point is itself in the data's disfavor, and what survives is the numberless parent-schedule / clock-map sector, unscored by construction and not vindicated. The vacuum conversion at the heart of the wider program is NOT SOLVED, and nothing in this paper touches it.

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-10-28
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23746526
Primary Topic
Cosmology and Gravitation Theories
Type
preprint
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preprint

The DESI Fork, Scored — Every Sealed Branch Has w_a >= 0 — and DESI DR2 Measures w_a < 0

William Alexander Aldred
3 links
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Cosmology and Gravitation Theories
preprint

The DESI Fork, Scored — Every Sealed Branch Has w_a >= 0 — and DESI DR2 Measures w_a < 0

William Alexander Aldred
preprint en

Abstract

This program carried an unresolved internal fork on dark-energy dynamics: an integration-constant theorem predicting w(z) = -1 at every redshift (Branch T, the CPL point (-1, 0)), against two laws of its Link-3 joint attack registered in the thawing quadrant (Branch C, Law C event-horizon tracking, recomputed from its own equations as (w0, wa) = (-0.885098, +0.230753), with its full w(z) track made explicit for the first time, w rising from -0.885098 at z = 0 to -0.548591 at z = 3; Branch D, Law D asymptotic approach, scored at its three tabulated points (-0.969346, +0.05), (-0.881765, +0.15), (-0.724118, +0.40) under a minimum-over-points rule). All branches were sealed in a pre-registration before any DESI DR2 number was fetched in this work, and the extraction and scoring were reproduced byte-identically on an independent route. Scored against the published DESI DR2 posteriors (DESI Collaboration, arXiv:2503.14738), every sealed branch has wa >= 0 and every DR2 combination measures wa < 0: the branches' marginalized wa distances run from z = +3.02 to +5.86 across DESI+CMB, +PantheonPlus, +Union3, and +DESY5, so every branch, the theorem point included, is excluded at >= 3 sigma on the wa axis alone in every combination. Two-axis uncorrelated equivalents are reported only as labeled approximations, not as the DESI paper's Delta-chi2 (the paper publishes no (w0, wa) correlation in its text and its chains were not retrievable; the true-Delta-chi2 upgrade remains owed). The fork is NOT reconciled: the theorem point is itself in the data's disfavor, and what survives is the numberless parent-schedule / clock-map sector, unscored by construction and not vindicated. The vacuum conversion at the heart of the wider program is NOT SOLVED, and nothing in this paper touches it.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Cosmology and Gravitation Theories
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