Bias Correction and Inference for Panel Quantile Regression

We develop a large-$n$, large-$T$ theory for the unsmoothed fixed-effects quantile regression estimator, paralleling Hahn and Newey (2004) for smooth nonlinear panel models. An exact rank-score identity for the profiled criterion, with a convexity argument, delivers the leading incidental parameter bias of the slope estimator, of order $T^{-1}$, in closed form. When $n$ and $T$ grow at the same rate, the estimator is asymptotically normal but in general not centred, and conventional intervals are invalid. Admissible growth of $n$ relative to $T$, up to $n=o(T^3)$, depends on the regularity of the conditional error densities. A split-panel jackknife removes the leading bias throughout this range and yields valid inference. In serially dependent panels whose dependence decays geometrically or polynomially, the bias acquires a term from the dependence between regressors and errors of different periods, the jackknife remains valid with contiguous but not with interleaved half-panels, and clustered standard errors are valid.

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
arXiv (Cornell University)
Published
2026-10-27
DOI
https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2610.36443
Primary Topic
Spatial and Panel Data Analysis
Type
preprint
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preprint

Bias Correction and Inference for Panel Quantile Regression

Harold D. Chiang, Wei Biao Wu
arXiv (Cornell University)
Spatial and Panel Data Analysis
preprint

Bias Correction and Inference for Panel Quantile Regression

Harold D. Chiang, Wei Biao Wu
preprint en

Abstract

We develop a large-$n$, large-$T$ theory for the unsmoothed fixed-effects quantile regression estimator, paralleling Hahn and Newey (2004) for smooth nonlinear panel models. An exact rank-score identity for the profiled criterion, with a convexity argument, delivers the leading incidental parameter bias of the slope estimator, of order $T^{-1}$, in closed form. When $n$ and $T$ grow at the same rate, the estimator is asymptotically normal but in general not centred, and conventional intervals are invalid. Admissible growth of $n$ relative to $T$, up to $n=o(T^3)$, depends on the regularity of the conditional error densities. A split-panel jackknife removes the leading bias throughout this range and yields valid inference. In serially dependent panels whose dependence decays geometrically or polynomially, the bias acquires a term from the dependence between regressors and errors of different periods, the jackknife remains valid with contiguous but not with interleaved half-panels, and clustered standard errors are valid.

arXiv (Cornell University)
Spatial and Panel Data Analysis
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Bias Correction and Inference for Panel Quantile Regression — Harold D. Chiang, Wei Biao Wu · arXiv (Cornell University) (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS