Scale-aware and spatially-localised optimisation of kilometre-scale MLWP models

Preserving fine-scale structure without degrading spatial accuracy is a central challenge for kilometre-scale machine-learning weather prediction (MLWP). We introduce a loss based on the dual-tree complex wavelet transform that constrains atmospheric fields jointly by scale, location, and orientation. We evaluate its performance using an experimental joint global--regional FastNet configuration, which produces \SI{1.5}{km} forecasts over the UK alongside $\sim$\SI{31}{km} global forecasts. Relative to both mean-squared error (MSE) and an FFT-based spectral objective, the wavelet loss substantially improves spectral fidelity. Compared with MSE training, it maintains similar pointwise performance, improves neighbourhood-based verification, and produces sharper precipitation fields with more realistic intensity distributions. These results demonstrate that spatially localised wavelet constraints can preserve multiscale atmospheric structure while largely avoiding the loss of pointwise accuracy associated with globally supported spectral objectives.

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
arXiv (Cornell University)
Published
2026-10-27
DOI
https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2610.37325
Primary Topic
Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
Type
preprint
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preprint

Scale-aware and spatially-localised optimisation of kilometre-scale MLWP models

Manvendra Janmaijaya, David Walters, E. G. Daub, J. Scott Hosking et al.
arXiv (Cornell University)
Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
preprint

Scale-aware and spatially-localised optimisation of kilometre-scale MLWP models

Manvendra Janmaijaya, David Walters, E. G. Daub, J. Scott Hosking, Noushin Eftekhari, Alejandro Coca-Castro, Nathan Simpson, Anna-Louise Ellis, Oliver Strickson, David Salvador-Jasin, Tom Dunstan, Ben Shipway, Sophie Luise Arana, Evangeline Corcoran, James Chappell, Jack Bowyer
preprint en

Abstract

Preserving fine-scale structure without degrading spatial accuracy is a central challenge for kilometre-scale machine-learning weather prediction (MLWP). We introduce a loss based on the dual-tree complex wavelet transform that constrains atmospheric fields jointly by scale, location, and orientation. We evaluate its performance using an experimental joint global--regional FastNet configuration, which produces \SI{1.5}{km} forecasts over the UK alongside $\sim$\SI{31}{km} global forecasts. Relative to both mean-squared error (MSE) and an FFT-based spectral objective, the wavelet loss substantially improves spectral fidelity. Compared with MSE training, it maintains similar pointwise performance, improves neighbourhood-based verification, and produces sharper precipitation fields with more realistic intensity distributions. These results demonstrate that spatially localised wavelet constraints can preserve multiscale atmospheric structure while largely avoiding the loss of pointwise accuracy associated with globally supported spectral objectives.

arXiv (Cornell University)
Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
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Scale-aware and spatially-localised optimisation of kilometre-scale MLWP models — Manvendra Janmaijaya, David Walters, et al. · arXiv (Cornell University) (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS